Biden in ‘very tough spot’ trying to stop Middle East escalation

Biden in ‘very tough spot’ trying to stop Middle East escalation
President Joe Biden walks to the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, April 13, 2024. (AP)
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Updated 15 April 2024
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Biden in ‘very tough spot’ trying to stop Middle East escalation

Biden in ‘very tough spot’ trying to stop Middle East escalation
  • Biden has been trying to avoid a regional war that could suck the United States back into the Middle East ever since Hamas’s October 7 attack

WASHINGTON: Iran’s attack on Israel gives Joe Biden a familiar dilemma, but on steroids — how to balance support for a difficult ally while preventing the nightmare scenario of a wider war?
Tensions with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over Israel’s war on Gaza were papered over as the US president offered “ironclad” support, including shooting down Iranian drones.
But the White House said it would not support an Israeli counterattack and warned Israel to “think carefully” about escalation that could trigger a full-blown regional conflict.
The question then for Biden, who is facing a tough reelection battle against Donald Trump in November, is what if Netanyahu goes ahead anyway, as he has done in Gaza?
“It puts him in a very tough spot” Colin Clarke, Director of Research at the Soufan Group, told AFP.
“I think he’s suspicious of Netanyahu’s motives here... that Netanyahu is attempting to broaden the war throughout the region to deflect from how poorly the war is going for him in Gaza.”
Biden has been trying to avoid a regional war that could suck the United States back into the Middle East ever since Hamas’s October 7 attack and Israel’s offensive on the Gaza Strip.
The 81-year-old has, however, struggled to use the leverage provided by the United States being Israel’s main military supplier, especially given a long history of tense relations with Netanyahu.
Biden has been increasingly critical of the death toll in the Palestinian territory and even went as far as suggesting the US could limit military aid, but so far to little effect.
Iran’s attack has seen Biden go back to showing overt support — but at the same time scrambling to stop the crisis spiraling.
White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said Netanyahu was “well aware” that Biden did not want a “wider war.”
Biden himself warned Netanyahu of the potential dangers in a call on Saturday night at a time of “heightened emotion.”
“The president had a discussion about trying to slow things down, think through things,” a US official said.
The hope was that “in the light of day” Israel would see it had had a “spectacular success” against Iran’s attack, added the official.
Washington’s calculus looks to be that Iran also got what it wanted, with a show of force in retaliation for Israel’s strike in Damascus earlier this month that killed a key Iranian general, but with minimal damage.
“However, I fear the status quo will be short-lived,” said James Ryan, Executive Director of the Middle East Research and Information Project, warning of a “dangerous spiral.”
“I expect Biden to attempt to restrain Israeli responses, but Netanyahu has already shown a willingness to test any kind of limit Biden wishes to impose,” he added.
“It’s all very cynical now, unfortunately.”
Biden’s options for restraining Israel are likely to be limited at this stage to tough language in private and making threats in public.
“They’ve got themselves into a corner in many ways,” said Clarke.
“I think they’ve overplayed their hand a little bit by saying the administration is considering cutting off weapons to the Israelis. It’s never going to happen — I think it’s an empty threat, especially in an election year.”
The US presidential election in November comes as Biden faces domestic political pressure on all sides when it comes to Israel.
Trump has led a chorus of Republicans accusing Biden of being weak on the issue — while young and left-wing voters in particular are angered by his failure to stop the bloodshed in Gaza.
Netanyahu, facing his own political and legal issues at home, would now be able to use the Iran attacks to “paper over the very real rifts that exist” with Washington on Gaza, said Clarke.
“If he can drag this out until November, he’s hoping for a Trump victory” when he would have “carte blanche” to act however he wanted in the region, said Clarke.
Another possibility, however, is that Netanyahu may decide to “accede to American urgings” for now on Iran — but with a cost, said Paul Salem, President and CEO of the Middle East Institute.
“Politically, I think they can cash in on saying, ‘okay, America, we won’t do anything, we’re being good. But in exchange, you have to, you know, give us more of a free hand in Gaza,’” he said.


Palestine takes center stage at Jaipur Literature Festival, world’s largest literary show

Palestine takes center stage at Jaipur Literature Festival, world’s largest literary show
Updated 30 January 2025
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Palestine takes center stage at Jaipur Literature Festival, world’s largest literary show

Palestine takes center stage at Jaipur Literature Festival, world’s largest literary show
  • Pankaj Mishra, Gideon Levy, Avi Shlaim, Selma Dabbagh to discuss Israel’s deadly war on Gaza
  • More than 400,000 people attended JLF in 2024 and even more are expected to show up this year

JAIPUR: The 18th edition of the Jaipur Literature Festival, India’s largest literary event, began on Thursday with a special focus on the history and present-day situation in Gaza and Palestine.

Known as the “greatest literary show on earth,” the five-day event is held in Jaipur, the capital of the northwestern state of Rajasthan, bringing to one venue dozens of leading voices from literature, politics, science and the arts from India and abroad.

More than 400,000 people attended the event last year and organizers expect even more to show up this time.

Many of the festival’s sessions will be devoted to Gaza, covering events there during the past 18 months of relentless Israeli attacks that have killed tens of thousands of Palestinians and destroyed much of the territory’s civilian infrastructure.

“What’s happening in Gaza is, in my opinion, the most appalling moral issue of our time and I’m very proud that we are giving this issue the prominence it deserves, and I think in a way that many Western literary festivals might be nervous to do. We are in a position in this country to speak frankly and openly about the horrors coming out of Gaza, and we intend to do so,” Scottish historian and writer William Dalrymple, one of the JLF’s directors, told Arab News.

 

Among the speakers will be Pankaj Mishra, the Indian novelist and essayist whose latest book, “The World After Gaza,” is a reckoning with Israel’s latest war on the enclave, its historical context and geopolitical ramifications.

Pankaj will be joined by Palestinian writer and lawyer Selma Dabbagh to discuss how the war — which brought Israel to trial for genocide at the International Court of Justice and has led to International Criminal Court arrest warrants for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former defense minister Yoav Gallant — challenges understandings of justice and decolonization.

In another session, Nathan Thrall, an author and journalist known for his 2023 nonfiction work “A Day in the Life of Abed Salama: Anatomy of a Jerusalem Tragedy,” who has covered Israel, the West Bank and Gaza, will speak about the human impact of Israel’s apartheid rule over the Palestinian people.

“It’s really an extraordinary lineup. We’ve got Gideon Levy from Haaretz — one of the most outspoken anti-Netanyahu journalists from the Israeli media — speaking in several sessions. I think he’s the bravest Israeli journalist of the lot, and the most outspoken on the horrors,” Dalrymple said.

Levy will speak about the unprecedented loss of civilian life in Gaza during the latest war and how it is likely to impact the future of the region.

Avi Shlaim, emeritus professor of international relations at the University of Oxford, will be talking about his memoir, “Three Worlds: Memoirs of an Arab Jew,” which “exposes Mossad operations, which tried to get the Jewish community in Iraq to leave through false flag operations, bombing synagogues and so on,” Dalrymple said.

“Then we have Philippe Sands, a very important international lawyer, who was strongly involved in the International Court of Justice case.”

 

For Dalrymple, who has spent many years reporting from and writing about the Middle East, raising the issue of Palestine as someone who knows the region also comes with a sense of responsibility. The subject and “the historical background of the terrible injustices which are taking place” are “often badly misrepresented,” he said.

“I have a duty to share what I know with those that are often misled and misguided about what’s happening ... people are seeing a lot on their social media but often they don’t have the education in the history and the politics to make sense of it all.”

Most of the people who will come to the festival may not have a thorough understanding of what is happening, but they can easily gain it by taking part in the event.

“Sometimes there isn’t as much knowledge and as much understanding of the issue, which is why people come to literary festivals. Not everyone in the modern world has time to read 300-page books on the history of Palestine but you can attend very easily a 50-minute session with experts summarizing it,” Dalrymple said.

“Literary festivals in the West are often scared of bringing this up and we’ve seen many examples of sessions on Palestine canceled in venues in the West. For example, when Pankaj Mishra was trying to speak on the same subject which he’s speaking with us, his session was famously canceled at the Barbican last year. So, he’ll be having with us the session that was censored in London ... we pride ourselves on the freedom with which our authors will be able to talk about all these things.”


France’s Le Pen condemns death threats against those trying her

France’s Le Pen condemns death threats against those trying her
Updated 30 January 2025
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France’s Le Pen condemns death threats against those trying her

France’s Le Pen condemns death threats against those trying her
  • Three judges, led by Benedicte de Perthuis, are due to give a verdict on March 31
  • Le Pen said the threats, which came in now-deleted comments on two articles in far-right website Riposte Laique (Secular Response), should not be trivialized.

PARIS: French far-right leader Marine Le Pen on Thursday said those behind death threats against a judge and prosecutors trying her in a graft trial should be punished, in her first comments on a police investigation into the abuse.
Reuters reported this week that police are investigating threats against a judge and two prosecutors in the trial, which could derail Le Pen’s hopes of running in the 2027 presidential vote where polls have her as frontrunner.
Lead prosecutors Louise Neyton and Nicolas Barret have asked for a five-year ban from public office for Le Pen. Three judges, led by Benedicte de Perthuis, are due to give a verdict on March 31.
Le Pen said the threats, which came in now-deleted comments on two articles in far-right website Riposte Laique (Secular Response), should not be trivialized.
“This serious trend, which consists of threatening to kill anyone — police officers, judges, elected officials, artists, etc. — with whom some feel in disagreement, is a worrying development which, given its scale, must be the subject of reflection by the justice system,” she wrote on X.
“Prosecutions must therefore be systematically initiated and the perpetrators convicted,” added Le Pen, whose late-father’s often-inflammatory rhetoric led to convictions for inciting racial hatred and condoning war crimes.
Le Pen, her National Rally (RN) party and some two dozen party figures are accused of diverting funds intended for European Parliament staff. In a TV interview on Wednesday night, Le Pen reiterated she was innocent of the charges against her.
She said she could not imagine judges would deprive the French of choosing their presidential candidate and that barring her from office would be an attack on democracy.
The threats around the trial have raised concerns in France about growing risks of violence against figures of authority, including thousands of verbal and physical attacks against mayors, as well as a suspected attempt to ambush a prosecutor looking into organized crime that was foiled by police.
“This is not a specific feature of this trial but a more general and very worrying trend,” Marie-Suzanne Le Queau, the attorney general of the Paris Court of Appeal, told France Inter radio on Wednesday. “All those who exercise authority ... are increasingly the target of death threats and completely uninhibited remarks.”


UK to keep ban on asylum seekers claiming modern slavery protections

UK to keep ban on asylum seekers claiming modern slavery protections
Updated 30 January 2025
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UK to keep ban on asylum seekers claiming modern slavery protections

UK to keep ban on asylum seekers claiming modern slavery protections
  • Labour had voted against those measures in parliament when legislation on them was passed in 2023
  • Immigration and asylum are the second most important issue to voters after the economy

LONDON: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government will retain a ban on asylum seekers being able to claim protections under modern slavery and other human rights laws, even as its ministers have previously criticized those measures.
Starmer is under pressure to deal with tens of thousands of people who arrive to the UK each year on small boats, a key issue of concern for British voters, after he pledged in last year’s election campaign to “smash the gangs” controlling the people smuggling trade.
The Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill introduced to parliament on Thursday will allow the police to seize the mobile phones of asylum seekers to help track down people smugglers, and target those suspected of supplying parts used in the small boats to transport people to England.
The Labour Party, which won power in July, also plans to retain parts of legislation passed by the previous Conservative government that will disqualify asylum seekers using modern slavery laws to challenge decisions to remove them, and the power to detain child asylum seekers for up to 28 days.
Labour had voted against those measures in parliament when legislation on them was passed in 2023.
Starmer said at the time that the decision to deny asylum seekers using modern slavery laws would “drive a coach and horses” through protections for women trafficked to Britain.
Jess Phillips, now a junior interior minister, said in 2023 the legislation was a “traffickers’ dream” because it would hide victims of modern slavery.
Starmer’s office and the interior ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Immigration and asylum are the second most important issue to voters after the economy, ahead of health, according to a tracker poll published by YouGov.
Government figures show that 36,816 people came to Britain via small boats last year, a 25 percent jump from the 29,437 who arrived in 2023.
The latest government statistics on Channel crossings make 2024 the second-highest year for arrivals since data was first collated in 2018.
Concern over immigration was a leading factor in Britain’s decision to vote to leave the European Union in 2016, but successive governments have failed to reduce both legal and illegal migration.


Man shot dead in Sweden ahead of court verdict over Qur’an burning, five people arrested

Man shot dead in Sweden ahead of court verdict over Qur’an burning, five people arrested
Updated 30 January 2025
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Man shot dead in Sweden ahead of court verdict over Qur’an burning, five people arrested

Man shot dead in Sweden ahead of court verdict over Qur’an burning, five people arrested
  • Salwan Momika protested outside mosque in Stockholm on June 28, 2023
  • Momika was shot in a house in the town of Sodertalje near Stockholm

STOCKHOLM: An Iraqi refugee and anti-Islam campaigner was shot dead in Sweden hours before he was due to receive a court verdict following a trial over burning the Qur’an, and five people were arrested over the shooting on Thursday.
The five were arrested in connection with the incident late on Wednesday and ordered detained by a prosecutor, Swedish police said on their website. They did not say if the shooter was among those detained.
Salwan Momika, 38, was shot in a house in the town of Sodertalje near Stockholm, public broadcaster SVT reported, citing unnamed police sources.
Momika had burned copies of the Qur’an, the Muslim holy book, in public demonstrations in 2023 against Islam.
A Stockholm court had been due to sentence Momika and another man on Thursday in a criminal trial over “offenses of agitation against an ethnic or national group,” but said the announcement of the verdict had been postponed.
A police spokesperson confirmed a man was shot dead in Sodertalje, but gave no other details.
The other defendant in the same court case was giving interviews on Thursday and posted a message on X, saying: “I’m next.”
The Security Service said that police were leading the investigation but “we are following the development of events closely to see what impact this may have on Swedish security,” a spokesperson told Reuters.
Swedish media reported that Momika was streaming live on TikTok at the time he was shot. A video seen by Reuters showed police picking up a phone and ending a livestream that appeared to be from Momika’s TikTok account.
Sweden in 2023 raised its terrorism alert to the second-highest level and warned of threats against Swedes at home and abroad after the Qur’an burnings, many of them by Momika, outraged Muslims and triggered threats from jihadists.
While the Swedish government condemned the wave of Qur’an burnings in 2023, it was initially regarded as a protected form of free speech.
Sweden’s migration agency in 2023 wanted to deport Momika for giving false information on his residency application, but couldn’t as he risked torture and inhumane treatment in Iraq.
Burning the Qur’an is seen by Muslims as a blasphemous act because they consider it the literal word of God.


Japan protests UN calls to allow women on imperial throne

Japan protests UN calls to allow women on imperial throne
Updated 30 January 2025
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Japan protests UN calls to allow women on imperial throne

Japan protests UN calls to allow women on imperial throne
Tokyo: Japan said it would not fund a UN women’s rights committee and suspended a member’s visit over calls for the nation to change its male-only imperial succession rules.
Chief cabinet secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said Thursday that a visit by a member of the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women would be called off, and financial contributions not made.
In October, the UN committee said Japan should “guarantee the equality of women and men in the succession to the throne” in line with “good practices” in other monarchies.
Japan demanded that the committee withdraw its recommendation, saying that the right to succeed the throne was unrelated to human rights and gender discrimination.
Only the sons of royal fathers can become emperor in Japan.
The rule has prompted questions of succession within the ancient imperial family, with Emperor Naruhito’s heir apparent just a few years younger than he is, and the only youthful member in line being 18-year-old Prince Hisahito.
Japan voluntarily gives between 20 to 30 million yen ($130,000 to $194,000) every year to the UN High Commissioner, which administers the women’s rights committee.
None of Japan’s contribution has gone to the committee since at least 2005, according to the foreign ministry, making this week’s funding decision essentially symbolic.
Opinion surveys show that many Japanese voters are sympathetic to the idea of letting women ascend the throne.
But traditionalists say that would fundamentally alter Japan as a nation, and parliamentary discussions on how to address succession have so far reached no conclusions.