Lebanese worldwide fear for their homeland and loved ones as violence escalates

Lebanese worldwide fear for their homeland and loved ones as violence escalates
A man rides his scooter as he drives on the debris of destroyed buildings that were hit by Israeli airstrikes in Dahiyeh, Beirut, Lebanon, Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024. (AP)
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Updated 06 October 2024
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Lebanese worldwide fear for their homeland and loved ones as violence escalates

Lebanese worldwide fear for their homeland and loved ones as violence escalates
  • The current military escalation unfolds amid fears that fighting could spread in the region and comes as the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza nears the grim one-year mark

It was a year ago when Jomana Siddiqui visited Lebanon, where her father was born — and is now buried. She planned to return there soon; this time, she thought, she would take her two teenage daughters.
Instead, Siddiqui, who lives in California, now worries about relatives there. As she watches from afar the violence and the recent escalation in Israel’s military campaign against Hezbollah in Lebanon, Siddiqui thinks about the people she met during her visit, the kindness and generosity she encountered.
She thinks about her father’s grave — when, or if, she will get to visit it again. Her voice cracks with emotions. It’s been gut-wrenching, she said.
“It’s like the universal story of the Lebanese people,” she said. “They have to keep leaving and not knowing when they can come back.”
From the United States to South Africa, Cyprus, Brazil and beyond, many members of Lebanon’s far-flung and large diaspora are contending with the ripples of the violence — grieving, gripped by fear for loved ones and for their homeland, trying to find ways to help.
Some 1,400 Lebanese, including civilians and fighters of the militant group Hezbollah, have been killed and some 1.2 million driven from their homes since Israel escalated its strikes in late September, saying it aims to push Hezbollah away from the countries’ shared border.
For Lina Kayat, who moved to South Africa almost 36 years ago but still has a big family in Lebanon, the violence and tensions there have echoes of earlier turbulent chapters.
“We lived through a civil war for a long time; I was like seven years old,” she said. “It feels like history repeating itself. ... It’s the unknown of who is going to get killed next.”
Kayat, who lives in South Africa’s coastal city of Durban, speaks daily to her family, including her mother and her sister.
“They are very scared and very worried about what is going to happen,” she said.
Generations of Lebanese have grappled with whether to leave to seek better opportunities or escape various times of tumult — from a 15-year-old civil war to military occupations, bombings and political assassinations — or stay in a Lebanon that despite its numerous scars retains its allure for many. Lebanon — home to multiple religious groups, including Christians and Sunni and Shiite Muslims — takes pride in its large emigrant communities, which include successful businessmen and celebrities of Lebanese heritage.
The current military escalation unfolds amid fears that fighting could spread in the region and comes as the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza nears the grim one-year mark.
“It happening on top of Gaza is almost too much to bear,” said James Zogby, president of the Washington D.C.-based Arab American Institute.
“It almost makes you physically ill just trying to fathom the extent of the trauma,” added Zogby, whose father was born in Lebanon.
Already, Lebanon had been on edge and struggling under the weight of an economic meltdown, the fallout from a massive 2020 port explosion and other crises. It’s been without a president for two years.
Against such a somber backdrop, Zogby wonders what will become of the displaced.
“Who’s going to care for them? Where do the health services come from ... when the country is already as overstretched as it is and on the verge of collapse?” he said. “At what point does it finally collapse? And who will care?”
Fueling the pain, he said, is his anger at the US response to the devastation in Gaza and now the escalation in Lebanon.
“There’s a sense of powerlessness, a sense of almost despair that, you know, it can get out of control. And as long as nothing here happens to restrain it, it will get worse.”
Akram Khater, director of the Khayrallah Center for Lebanese Diaspora Studies at North Carolina State University, said that since the earliest diaspora, Lebanese who left have been contributing heavily to the economic well-being of Lebanon, sending large amounts of remittances.
Watching the escalation in Lebanon, where he was born and raised, has been re-traumatizing, he said.
“I find myself amidst a swirl of emotions that are unresolved and that derive from this recurring nightmare,” he said. “Yet, even amidst this our community comes together to create solidarity and provide solace and comfort for each other.”
Recently, hundreds of Lebanese flags filled the night sky in Dearborn, Michigan, as some attended a rally to support Lebanon and protest the Israeli offensive there.
At Sao Paulo’s international airport, two Lebanese brothers who’ve been living in Brazil, recently had a solemn reunion. They said eight of their loved ones — their sister, brother-in-law, four of their nephews and two of their nephews’ children — were killed in Lebanon in one of the attacks.
Hussein Zeineddine, one of the brothers, had been on vacation with his family in southern Lebanon when the area was hit by Israeli attacks, he told The Associated Press. He and his family moved to a safer location until they could book flights back to Brazil. “My wife was crying and asking us to leave. We left just with basic items. And then, shortly after, my sister’s house was bombed,” he said after his arrival.
“It will be tough here. But it will be tougher for people there,” he said.
In Cyprus, Rosaline Ghoukassian said the overwhelming majority of Lebanese don’t want this war. She relocated to Cyprus with her husband Raffi Garabedian and their daughter Maria after the 2020 ammonium nitrate explosion in Beirut’s port that killed more than 200 people. She said she’d been disenchanted with Lebanon’s political leadership and also lamented Hezbollah’s influence.
“We knew this was coming,” she said. “The problem is in Lebanon. ... Because we don’t have a good government.”
Their decision to leave Lebanon was never about money but safety, as their daughter explained in a letter she wrote in class in Cyprus: “I don’t want to go there because I was saved in the explosion, and I don’t want to go live there because I don’t want to die.”
The family chose to stay.
“I’m not here to make thousands of euros. No. I’m here just to live. To be happy, to be safe. This is what I want. To live,” Garabedian said.
Hezbollah began firing into Israel the day after Hamas’ attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, in which the militants killed some 1,200 people and took about 250 others hostage. Since then, Israel’s military response in Gaza has killed more than 41,000 Palestinians, according to local health officials.
Back in California, Siddiqui said coping with it all has been challenging.
“You grab the phone; you hesitate to open it because you’re afraid of what you’re going to see, but you kind of have to.”
She talks to friends and others in her circle who can relate.
“We all feel kind of sad, depressed, helpless, rundown,” she said. “We can do things like fundraise and donate and protest or anything like that, but at the end of the day, it still weighs on you.”


Palestinians fear repeat of ‘Nakba’

Palestinians fear repeat of ‘Nakba’
Updated 8 sec ago
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Palestinians fear repeat of ‘Nakba’

Palestinians fear repeat of ‘Nakba’
  • Israel’s war against Hamas has forced 1.7m Gazans to flee homes, often multiple times

JERUSALEM: Palestinians will mark this year the 77th anniversary of their mass expulsion from what is now Israel, an event that is at the core of their national struggle.

But in many ways, that experience pales in comparison to the calamity now faced in the Gaza Strip — particularly as President Donald Trump has suggested that displaced Palestinians in Gaza be permanently resettled outside the war-torn territory and that the US take “ownership” of the enclave.

Palestinians refer to their 1948 expulsion as the Nakba, Arabic for catastrophe. Some 700,000 Palestinians — a majority of the prewar population — fled or were driven from their homes before and during the 1948 Arab-Israeli war that followed Israel’s establishment.

After the war, Israel refused to allow them to return because it would have resulted in a Palestinian majority within its borders. 

Instead, they became a seemingly permanent refugee community that now numbers some 6 million, with most living in slum-like urban refugee camps in Lebanon, Syria, Jordan and the Israeli-occupied West Bank.

Israel’s rejection of what Palestinians say is their right of return to their 1948 homes has been a core grievance in the conflict and was one of the thorniest issues in peace talks that last collapsed 15 years ago. The refugee camps have always been the main bastions of Palestinian militancy.

Now, many Palestinians fear a repeat of their painful history on an even more cataclysmic scale.

All across Gaza, Palestinians in recent days have been loading up cars and donkey carts or setting out on foot to visit their destroyed homes after a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war took hold Jan. 19. The images from several rounds of mass evacuations throughout the war — and their march back north on foot — are strikingly similar to black-and-white photographs from 1948.

Mustafa Al-Gazzar, in his 80s, recalled in 2024 his family’s monthslong flight from their village in what is now central Israel to the southern city of Rafah, when he was 5. At one point they were bombed from the air, at another, they dug holes under a tree to sleep in for warmth.

Al-Gazzar, now a great-grandfather, was forced to flee again in the war, this time to a tent in Muwasi, a barren coastal area where some 450,000 Palestinians live in a squalid camp. 

He said then the conditions are worse than in 1948, when the UN agency for Palestinian refugees was able to regularly provide food and other essentials.

The war in Gaza has forced some 1.7 million Palestinians — around three quarters of the territory’s population — to flee their homes, often multiple times. That is well over twice the number that fled before and during the 1948 war.

Israel has sealed its border. Egypt has only allowed a small number of Palestinians to leave, in part because it fears a mass influx of Palestinians could generate another long-term refugee crisis.

Israel has long called for the refugees of 1948 to be absorbed into host countries, saying that calls for their return are unrealistic and would endanger its existence as a Jewish-majority state. It points to the hundreds of thousands of Jews who came to Israel from Arab countries during the turmoil following its establishment, though few of them want to return.

Even if Palestinians are not expelled from Gaza en masse, many fear that they will never be able to return to their homes or that the destruction wreaked on the territory will make it impossible to live there. One UN estimate said it would take until 2040 to rebuild destroyed homes.

Yara Asi, a Palestinian professor at the University of Central Florida, says it’s “extremely difficult” to imagine the kind of international effort that would be necessary to rebuild Gaza.


Iranian currency plunges to record low after fresh US move

Iranian currency plunges to record low after fresh US move
Updated 4 min 4 sec ago
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Iranian currency plunges to record low after fresh US move

Iranian currency plunges to record low after fresh US move
  • It remains unclear how funding for Iranian activists and opposition figures would be affected by the USAID decision

TEHRAN: Iran’s currency plunged on Wednesday to a record low of 850,000 rials to $1 after US President Donald Trump ordered a restart to the “maximum pressure” campaign targeting Tehran.

Trump’s order calls for halting Iran’s oil exports and pursuing a “snapback” of UN sanctions on Iran. However, he also suggested he didn’t want to impose those sanctions and wanted to reach a deal with Iran.

The move comes as Trump’s moves to freeze spending on foreign aid and overhaul, or even end, the US Agency for International Development have been lauded in Iranian state media.

Meanwhile, ordinary Iranians worry what all this could mean for them.

“It encourages hard-liners inside Iran to continue repressions because they feel the US would have less capability in supporting Iranian people who seek freedom,” said Maryam Faraji, a 27-year-old waitress in a coffee shop in northern Tehran.

Iranian media say Trump’s cuts could stop the opposition in Iran

The state-run IRNA news agency said that “cutting the budget of foreign-based opposition” could “affect the sphere of relations” between Tehran and Washington.

Newspapers, like the conservative Hamshhari daily, described Iran’s opposition as “counterrevolutionaries” who had been “celebrating” Trump’s election as heralding the “last days of life of the Islamic Republic.”

They then “suddenly faced the surprise of cut funding from their employer,” the newspaper crowed.

Even the reformist newspaper Hammihan compared it to a “cold shower” for opponents of Iran’s theocracy abroad, an idea also expressed by the Foreign Ministry.

“Those financial resources are not charity donations,” Esmail Bagahei, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, said during a briefing with reporters. “They are wages paid in exchange for services.”

It remains unclear how funding for Iranian activists and opposition figures would be affected by the USAID decision.

The lion’s share of money for civil society in Iran has come through the US State Department’s Near East Regional Democracy fund, known by the acronym NERD, which grew as an American response to the Green Movement protests in 2009.


Gaza is integral part of future Palestinian state, EU spokesperson says

Gaza is integral part of future Palestinian state, EU spokesperson says
Updated 21 min 47 sec ago
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Gaza is integral part of future Palestinian state, EU spokesperson says

Gaza is integral part of future Palestinian state, EU spokesperson says
  • “The EU remains firmly committed to a two-state solution,” the EU spokesperson said

BRUSSELS: Gaza should be an essential part of a future Palestinian state, said a European Union foreign policy spokesperson on Wednesday, adding that the EU was committed to a two-state solution for Israelis and Palestinians.
President Donald Trump has proposed for the United States to take over war-ravaged Gaza after resettling Palestinians elsewhere. The comments have drawn global condemnation.
“We took note of President Trump’s comments. The EU remains firmly committed to a two-state solution, which we believe is the only path to long-term peace for both Israelis and Palestinians,” the EU spokesperson said.
“Gaza is an integral part of a future Palestinian state,” he added.


Israel says to boycott UN Human Rights Council over ‘anti-Semitism’

Israel says to boycott UN Human Rights Council over ‘anti-Semitism’
Updated 28 min 46 sec ago
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Israel says to boycott UN Human Rights Council over ‘anti-Semitism’

Israel says to boycott UN Human Rights Council over ‘anti-Semitism’
  • Israel is an observer state and not one of the 47 member states of the UNHRC

JERUSALEM: Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar on Wednesday accused the UN Human Rights Council of anti-Semitism as he announced Israel would boycott the United Nations body.
“This body has focused on attacking a democratic country and propagating anti-Semitism, instead of promoting human rights,” Saar said in a post on X.
The minister cited Israel being “the only country with an agenda item dedicated solely to it” and the subject of more resolutions than “Iran, Cuba, North Korea and Venezuela combined.”
“Israel joins the United States and will not participate in the UNHRC,” Saar said.
In response to the boycott announcement, UNHRC spokesman Pascal Sim said Israel had “observer state status” within the rights body and was “not one of the 47 member states.”
As such, it cannot “withdraw from the council,” he added.
Israel has previously participated in periodic reviews that UN members must submit to the UNHRC.
For several years, however, it has boycotted debates on the “human rights situation in Palestine and other occupied Arab territories.”
US President Donald Trump on Tuesday signed an executive order saying Washington was withdrawing from a number of United Nations bodies, including its Human Rights Council.
The executive order also said it withdrew the United States from the UN relief agency for Palestinians, UNRWA, with which Israel cut ties on Thursday accusing the body of providing cover for Hamas militants.


Why pressure is growing to finalize UK-GCC free trade agreement

Why pressure is growing to finalize UK-GCC free trade agreement
Updated 6 min 7 sec ago
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Why pressure is growing to finalize UK-GCC free trade agreement

Why pressure is growing to finalize UK-GCC free trade agreement
  • Britain’s financial woes and US President Donald Trump’s trade wars loom over negotiators working to get deal over the line
  • The deal would eliminate tariffs, reduce trade barriers, and facilitate business cooperation in key sectors like AI and renewables

LONDON: The UK’s economic fragility and global turmoil from President Donald Trump’s trade wars have given increased impetus for Britain to reach a free trade agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Talks for a deal between the six-nation bloc and Britain are continuing apace after restarting in September and are said to be at an advanced stage.

Yet the agreement could not come soon enough for the UK government, which is struggling to breathe life into a stagnant economy.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has prioritized growth, and a GCC FTA would bring a significant boost to the UK’s finances and the governing Labour Party’s political fortunes.

The benefits would also be plentiful for Gulf countries, many of which have embarked on extensive reforms to diversify their economies away from hydrocarbons and toward modern sectors.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman receives British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in Riyadh. (SPA/File)



Details of the negotiations are closely guarded, but economists and experts told Arab News they believe a final deal is close and that there is will from both sides to get the agreement in place.

“The UK government has signaled that it wants to attract more investment into the economy, and its new drive for growth should certainly give momentum to the determination of UK negotiators to push forward the talks on the FTA toward a satisfactory conclusion,” said Bandar Reda, secretary-general and CEO of the Arab-British Chamber of Commerce.

“With a fair degree of optimism then we can probably look forward to a positive outcome being achieved a little sooner than previously expected.”

The UK believes a GCC FTA would increase bilateral trade by 16 percent and could add an extra £8.6 billion ($10.7 billion) a year to the existing £57.4 billion worth of annual trade between the two sides.

Officials say it could also boost UK annual workers’ wages by around £600 million to £1.1 billion every year and increase UK GDP by between £1.6 and £3.1 billion by 2035.

The UK has been looking to forge fresh trade deals since leaving the EU, its biggest trading partner, in 2020.

With already strong trade links and historic ties to Gulf countries, establishing an agreement with the GCC as a whole became a priority.

Consisting of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman and Kuwait, the GCC economic and political union is also seeking to make more trade agreements as a bloc.

Britain's Queen Camilla, Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, Britain's King Charles III and Sheikha Jawaher bint Hamad bin Suhaim al-Thani in London. (AFP/File)

A UK government report published in 2022 said an FTA with the GCC “is an opportunity to boost trade with an economically and strategically important group of countries, support jobs and advance our global interests.”

After the July election brought in his new UK government, Starmer prioritized relations with the Gulf, and a seventh round of trade negotiations got underway.

Jonathan Reynolds, the business and trade secretary, visited the region in September and delegations have traveled back and forth since.

The latest negotiation team from the GCC was in London last month, according to the Department for Business and Trade.

Starmer traveled to Saudi Arabia in December and met with Prime Minister and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. He also visited the UAE and hosted the Qatari emir in London.

Several deals were announced during those meetings, as the new government made clear that attracting foreign investment from Gulf countries was key to its growth strategy.

Opinion

This section contains relevant reference points, placed in (Opinion field)



At the same time, the economic pressures on Starmer’s administration have increased. Despite a relatively strong start to 2024, the UK economy failed to grow in the second half of the year.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves came under fire for her first budget, which dented business confidence with a series of tax hikes.

With UK borrowing costs hitting their highest level for several years last month, boosting trade with a bloc like the GCC through an FTA would be a significant boon for Starmer.

But it is not just the UK’s domestic economic woes that are looming over negotiators. With the US administration’s threats to impose tariffs on both allies and adversaries causing global financial uncertainty, Gulf countries will also be keen to ease trade restrictions with a major partner like the UK.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer meets UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan at the Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi. (AFP/File)



“One effect of the threat of tariffs might be to add urgency to the negotiations to conclude the UK-GCC FTA,” Reda, of the Arab-British Chamber of Commerce, told Arab News.

Primarily, the agreement would remove or reduce tariff barriers to trade between GCC countries and the UK, easing the flow of goods and services.

The average tariff applied to UK exports by the GCC is around 5.5 percent, whereas imports from the Gulf face a 5.8 percent levy. However, the UK places no tariffs on oil and gas bought from GCC countries, and this accounts for most of the import value.

Still, removing the tariffs would help businesses on both sides by reducing costs but would particularly benefit the UK given that its exports account for 60 percent of total trade.

Perhaps more important, according to Freddie Neve, lead Middle East associate at the London-based Asia House think tank, would be removing red tape faced by importers and exporters.

Primarily, the agreement would remove or reduce tariff barriers to trade between GCC countries and the UK, easing the flow of goods and services. (SPA)



“While reducing tariffs on these goods is an obvious target in the negotiations, arguably a larger opportunity relates to the reduction of non-tariff barriers,” Neve said. “These relate to regulations, standards, and procedures required of foreign firms to do business.

“A government analysis published before negotiations counted over 4,500 non-tariff measures applied by the GCC on the UK. Naturally, some of these will have been ameliorated by recent Gulf economic reforms, but an FTA that reduces these barriers would make it easier for UK companies to operate in and across the GCC.”

While the timing of the FTA would be good for the UK it also fits perfectly with the timetable of economic diversification underway in the GCC.

An FTA negotiation is a vast and complex process and there may well still be sticking points to be ironed out before a final deal is reached. (AFP/File)

Saudi Arabia and the UAE in particular are moving away from reliance on oil revenues to modern, technology-driven economies.

Investing in the UK means they are able to tap into services and expertise in sectors where Britain has a competitive advantage, such as technology, life sciences, creative industries, education and financial services.

In particular, the UK’s 2022 assessment predicted an FTA would allow for cooperation in “industries of the future” such as artificial intelligence and renewable energy, in which Gulf countries are investing heavily.

“Over the past three years, innovations in AI and related sectors to do with the digital economy, e-commerce, advanced data and computing have developed enormously,” Reda said. “The Gulf states have all been seeking to position themselves at the forefront of these developments that are reshaping how we do business.

“These areas open up major new areas for UK-GCC cooperation as we all seek to maximize the potential offered by AI and cutting-edge tech. The FTA should give a tremendous boost to cooperation in these industries of the future.”

INNUMBERS

• 16% Potential increase in bilateral trade resulting from UK-GCC free trade agreement.

• £8.6bn What the FTA could add to the existing £57.4bn worth of annual bilateral trade.

• £1.6-£3.1bn Possible boost to UK GDP by 2035, raising wages to £1.1bn per year.


An FTA negotiation is a vast and complex process and there may well still be sticking points to be ironed out before a final deal is reached.

Douglas Alexander, the UK’s minister of state for trade policy and economic security, said in December that negotiators on the GCC agreement continued to have “constructive discussions on areas of sustainable trade,” such as environment and labor.

MPs have raised questions over whether the UK should be focusing on a GCC-wide agreement rather than individual deals with Gulf countries, citing variations in policies and regulations across the bloc.

But the GCC countries have been developing their concerted approach to trade and are pursuing similar agreements with the EU, China, and Turkiye.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has prioritized growth, and a GCC FTA would bring a significant boost to the UK finances. (SPA/File)



“Negotiations with a bloc are always more challenging than bilateral deals,” Justin Alexander, a director at US consultancy Khalij Economics, told Arab News. “However, the GCC is functioning in the most joined-up way I have seen in my career, and all the GCC members are important partners for the UK, so it is highly motivated to make this work.”

He said he was not aware of any significant obstacles remaining in the talks and believed the deal is very near completion.

“The most significant element of the UK-GCC FTA for both sides will be the fact that it has been done, setting a precedent for further trade deals for both parties,” Alexander said. “Both sides are open, globally integrated economies and would benefit from modern trade deals.”

The Department for Business and Trade said trade deals played a “vital role” in the government’s mission for economic growth.

“We’re seeking a modern trade deal with the Gulf as a priority, and our focus is securing a deal that delivers real value to businesses on both sides, rather than getting it done by a specific date,” the department said.