Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout
Brent crude oil futures were up 29 cents, or 0.39 percent, at $75.21 per barrel by 10:00 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 07 November 2024
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Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout
  • US dollar near four-month high as markets digest Trump win
  • China may face Iran crude squeeze if Trump ramps up sanctions
  • China’s October crude oil imports fall

SINGAPORE: Oil prices ticked up on Thursday following a sell-off triggered by the US presidential election, as risks to oil supply from a Trump presidency and a hurricane building in the Gulf Coast outweighed a stronger dollar and lower crude imports in top importer China.

Brent crude oil futures were up 29 cents, or 0.39 percent, at $75.21 per barrel by 10:00 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 18 cents or 0.25 percent to $71.87.

Concerns around a Trump presidency squeezing oil supply from Iran and Venezuela as well as an approaching storm “more than offset the post-election impact of a stronger US dollar and ... higher-than-expected US inventories,” Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.

Trump’s election had initially triggered a sell-off that pushed oil prices down by more than $2 as the US dollar rose to its highest level since September 2022. But the front-month contracts pared losses to settle down 61 cents for Brent and 30 cents for WTI by the end of the Wednesday session.

“Historically, Trump’s policies have been pro-business, which likely supports overall economic growth and increases demand for fuel. However, any interference in the Fed’s easing policies could lead to further challenges for the oil market,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“With the bumper surge in the dollar hovering at near 4-month highs, oil seems to be talking massive headwinds in the aftermath of the US election results.”

The upside to oil markets may be limited to the short to medium term as OPEC is expected to increase supply capacity in January, while historical trends do not suggest sanctions will prevent India and China from continuing to purchase oil from Russia or Iran, Sachdeva said.

Crude oil imports in China, the world’s largest crude importer, fell 9 percent in October, posting a sixth consecutive monthly year-on-year decline as a plant closure at a state oil refinery adds to weaker demand from independent refiners, data showed on Thursday.

Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his “maximum pressure policy” of sanctions on Iranian oil. That could cut supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to an Energy Aspect estimate.

Trump in his first term had also put in place harsher sanctions on Venezuelan oil, measures that were briefly rolled back by the Biden administration but later reinstated.

In North America, Hurricane Rafael intensified into a category 3 hurricane on Wednesday, and about 17 percent of crude oil production or 304,418 barrels per day in the US Gulf of Mexico had been shut in response, the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.

US crude inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels to 427.7 million barrels in the week ending on Nov. 1, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, compared with expectations for a 1.1 million-barrel rise.


Saudi Arabia’s Al-Ahsa records 500% growth in local, international tourists in 2024

Saudi Arabia’s Al-Ahsa records 500% growth in local, international tourists in 2024
Updated 19 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s Al-Ahsa records 500% growth in local, international tourists in 2024

Saudi Arabia’s Al-Ahsa records 500% growth in local, international tourists in 2024

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Al-Ahsa region saw a 500 percent surge in tourists, surpassing 3.2 million in 2024 compared to 2019, the Kingdom’s tourism minister said.

In a speech at the Al-Ahsa Forum 2025, held from Feb. 19-20, Ahmed Al-Khateeb shared that total tourist spending last year surpassed SR3.3 billion ($897 million), with a growth rate estimated at about 400 percent compared to 2019, the Saudi Press Agency reported.

This falls in line with the ministry’s continued efforts to enable investment and qualify national cadres to enhance Al-Ahsa’s position as a prominent tourist destination in Saudi Arabia, the minister highlighted.

The growth also aligns with the qualitative shift in the regional hospitality sector. The number of licensed tourism facilities in the governorate grew by 52 percent compared to 2023, while the total number of licensed rooms reached 2,700 by the end of last year.

During his speech, Al-Khateeb also underlined the efforts made by the tourism sector, indicating that the Tourism Development Fund has financed several qualitative projects in the governorate, most notably the five-star “Hilton Al-Ahsa” hotel, “Radisson Blu” and “Hilton Garden Inn.”

He said the Ministry of Tourism has implemented several initiatives and various exemptions as well as incentive programs aimed at further elevating the investment environment in Al-Ahsa and that several projects have benefited from them, with a total value of SR3 billion in the governorate.

Al-Khateeb added that the ministry has provided more than 5,300 training prospects for national cadres in the governorate from 2023 until today, exceeding 50 percent of the target of training opportunities allocated by the ministry for the region, which was announced in the previous version of the forum.

He also said that the entity will continue working to qualify national cadres by providing the largest possible number of training opportunities for locals.

During a meeting with investors and entrepreneurs as part of his broader tour across Saudi regions in November, Al-Khateeb said that the Kingdom committed over SR3.5 billion to develop 17 tourism projects in Al-Ahsa, positioning the region as a key destination in the nation’s growing travel sector. 

At the time, the minister outlined plans to enhance the governorate’s tourism infrastructure while noting that the projects would add more than 1,800 hotel rooms, thereby leveraging Al-Ahsa’s natural and cultural assets to attract domestic and international visitors.


Saudi Arabia’s NDMC eyes green bond issuances in 2025

Saudi Arabia’s NDMC eyes green bond issuances in 2025
Updated 19 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s NDMC eyes green bond issuances in 2025

Saudi Arabia’s NDMC eyes green bond issuances in 2025

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s National Debt Management Center is considering issuing green bonds in international markets after finalizing its green framework in 2024, a senior official said.

At the Capital Markets & the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia event, Muhannad Mufti, chief of portfolio management at NDMC, highlighted that the Kingdom has introduced key debt programs to ensure sustainable access to capital markets and strengthen the yield curve.

Mufti explained: “The NDMC launched the GMT program in 2016, which focused on international issuances. We also introduced a local sukuk program to help with price discovery and expand the yield curve, with maturities ranging from 7 to 30 years. Additionally, we launched the international sukuk program.”

He added, “In 2024, we finalized the green framework, and throughout this year, we are exploring opportunities to issue in the green market.”

Debt market evolution

Saudi Arabia's debt market has seen significant growth, with experts noting a surge in investor interest in debt instruments amid rising interest rates.

Mohammed Al-Bensaleh, head of debt financing at Al Rajhi Capital, emphasized the local debt capital market’s expansion, which has consistently outpaced the equity market in recent years.

“The local debt capital market has historically been larger than the equity market. Some corporates initially issued in the local capital market but later shifted focus to other funding sources for reasons such as process, currency requirements, cost, or flexibility,” Al-Bensaleh explained.

He pointed out that despite liquidity pressures, the loan market remains significantly larger than the capital market, creating opportunities for issuers.

“Especially in the current environment, we’re seeing more investors focusing on debt instruments as an investment avenue, which wasn’t the case just three years ago when interest rates were very low,” he added.

Mohammad Al-Faadhel, assistant deputy of financing at the Capital Market Authority, discussed the structured evolution of Saudi Arabia’s financing landscape and how the debt capital market is poised for further acceleration, especially following Vision 2030 reforms.

“I want to take a step back and look at how financing evolves. Typically, in other markets, it starts with bank loans, progresses to the equity market, then to bond markets, and eventually more complex instruments like derivatives and structured products,” Al-Faadhel said.

He highlighted the influence of Vision 2030 in transforming the Kingdom from a capital exporter to a market where credit outpaces deposits, creating an ideal environment for the debt market to grow.

“We haven’t left this to chance. Together with other stakeholders, we’ve proactively established the Sukuk and Development Capital Market Committee to remove obstacles and support the market’s growth,” he concluded.

Key challenges and future outlook

While Saudi Arabia’s debt market is rapidly maturing, several challenges remain. Al-Bensaleh highlighted three key obstacles: liquidity for government sukuk, expanding corporate debt issuances, and introducing securitization.

“To address liquidity for government sukuk, we’ve implemented several measures, including the introduction of a market-making framework by the exchange in January, the launch of the omnibus account structure in November, and the near completion of licensing an alternative trading system,” he explained.

On the corporate side, efforts are underway to simplify listing requirements and encourage broader participation.

“We’ve reduced some requirements by 50 percent without compromising investment protection. As a result, we’ve seen increased activity and expect a strong pipeline of approvals in 2025,” Al-Bensaleh added.

The push toward green and sustainable finance is another critical area, with regulatory bodies set to introduce new guidelines for green, social, and sustainability-linked bonds by the end of March.

Looking ahead, Al-Faadhel outlined the Kingdom’s ambitions for the debt market, aiming to increase the debt-to-bank loan ratio from the current 11 percent debt-to-89 percent bank loan split to the mid-20s within five years, and closer to G20 averages in the next decade.

“Currently, the split between bank loans and the debt capital market is far below G20 levels. In five years, we aim to move from 11 percent to the mid-20s, and hopefully, within 10 years, align closer with G20 averages. That’s our goal,” he concluded.

With strategic reforms, growing investor interest, and proactive regulatory bodies, Saudi Arabia’s debt market is set for substantial growth, positioning the Kingdom as a key player in regional and global capital markets.


Global energy leaders convene in Riyadh for 15th tripartite forum on energy outlooks

Global energy leaders convene in Riyadh for 15th tripartite forum on energy outlooks
Updated 19 February 2025
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Global energy leaders convene in Riyadh for 15th tripartite forum on energy outlooks

Global energy leaders convene in Riyadh for 15th tripartite forum on energy outlooks

RIYADH: Dialogue and collaboration are essential for sustainable market stability, benefiting consumers and producers and supporting the global economy, according to OPEC’s secretary general.

These remarks were made during the 15th International Energy Agency-International Energy Forum-OPEC Symposium on Energy Outlooks, held on Feb. 19 at the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center in Riyadh, where global leaders, policymakers, and industry experts gathered to discuss critical developments in the sector.

Held under the patronage of Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Energy, Abdulaziz bin Salman, the annual symposium has established itself as a key platform for fostering producer-consumer dialogue.

Haitham Al-Ghais, secretary general of OPEC, expressed his gratitude to the Kingdom’s energy minister for his continued support, emphasizing the importance of global energy cooperation. 

The symposium featured in-depth discussions on pressing energy challenges, including shifting geopolitical and economic dynamics, market volatility, and the widening gap between varying energy outlooks. 

Experts from leading organizations examined the findings of the IEA, OPEC, and EIA energy outlook reports, analyzing their implications for energy security, market stability, and sustainability. 

A key focus of the discussions was the medium-term impact of the energy transition, with panelists assessing the opportunities and risks associated with shifting global energy consumption patterns, the integration of renewables, and the increasing demand for critical raw materials.  

The event also addressed long-term energy perspectives, exploring how producers and consumers can balance technological advancements with their shared dependencies. 

Industry leaders debated strategies for scaling carbon abatement solutions and advancing clean initiatives while maintaining energy security and economic stability. 

The discussions underscored the importance of continued investment in traditional and emerging energy sources to ensure an orderly and equitable transition.  

As part of a broader collaboration initiated under the Cancun Declaration of 2010, the symposium serves as a critical forum for aligning international strategies. 

This year’s event builds on a tradition of collaboration among the three organizations established under the 2010 Cancun Declaration. It aims to address key energy challenges, foster producer-consumer dialogue, and support global energy stability. 

The event follows the success of the 14th edition, which took place in Riyadh on Feb. 21, 2024, and focused on the importance of dialogue amid market volatility.


Saudi CMA to boost market growth with SPACs, enhanced direct listings

Saudi CMA to boost market growth with SPACs, enhanced direct listings
Updated 40 min 34 sec ago
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Saudi CMA to boost market growth with SPACs, enhanced direct listings

Saudi CMA to boost market growth with SPACs, enhanced direct listings

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Capital Market Authority is working on the introduction of special-purpose acquisition companies in the capital market to streamline the listing process, according to a senior CMA executive.

The authority is also aiming to improve the framework for direct listings, which may include offerings on the main market, and plans to expand the investor base in the parallel market to boost supply, according to Fahad bin Hamdan, assistant deputy for financing and investment at the CMA.

In his remarks at a conference organized as part of the Capital Markets Forum in Riyadh, he emphasized that SPACs would offer companies an alternative path to going public, simplifying the traditional listing process and encouraging more market participation.

“One of the key initiatives the CMA is focusing on is the introduction of SPACs in the capital market, which will simplify the stock listing process. Additionally, we are enhancing the direct listing framework, potentially including direct listings in the main market,” said Hamdan.

He continued: “We also aim to expand the investor base in Nomu to increase supply. In collaboration with  Zakat, Tax, and Customs Authority, we are working to eliminate the withholding tax on all listed securities, a move that will help attract more foreign investment into the market.”

Streamlining IPO process

Hamdan also mentioned that the CMA may refine its initial public offering process to support Tadawul in making issuances and listings more accessible and appealing across various industries.

This initiative has already led to a 70 percent increase in listed stocks over the past four years, bringing the total to nearly 350 across both the main market and Nomu.

“If we look back four years, we had only five securities or stocks. Today, we have nearly 106 stocks, which reflects how much the market has grown and become more diverse, attracting investors from various sectors,” Hamdan explained.

He highlighted ongoing efforts in the debt market, noting that it has become a significant financing channel for both the public and private sectors.

The CMA has collaborated with key stakeholders, including the Saudi Central Bank, the National Debt Management Center, and Tadawul, to implement initiatives aimed at deepening the market.

Among the key actions taken, the CMA has simplified the offering documents for public debt issuances, allowed direct listing of privately placed debt instruments, and opened the debt market to international depository centers.

Foreign investor engagement has also broadened, attracting a diverse range of participants. To further encourage secondary market activity, the CMA eliminated commission fees on bond transactions, lowering costs and attracting more investors and issuers.

Debt issuances

In addition, the authority is working with ZATCA to introduce sukuk structures with zero tax burdens, removing a significant obstacle for local investors in a low-interest environment.

These reforms have had a notable impact, with the number of debt issuances doubling over the past three years, rising from 30 to 60.

According to Hamdan, the investor base in the debt market has expanded from 500 to over 50,000 participants. The number of transactions in the sukuk and debt market also surged by 893 percent from 2021 to 2023, reflecting the broader engagement from both issuers and investors.

“These amendments also helped reduce the concentration of banks’ ownership of debt instruments. Previously, banks held around 60 percent of total debt,” the official said.

He added: “Now, that figure has dropped to below 45 percent as investment companies, mutual funds, and retail investors have increased their participation.”

The CMA remains dedicated to further deepening the market in collaboration with its partners. In recent years, it has worked with Tadawul to introduce a market-making framework, initially applied to select stocks, aimed at enhancing liquidity and narrowing bid-ask spreads.

This framework is continually evolving to cover a broader range of asset classes, ultimately improving overall market efficiency.

Exchange-traded funds

The Saudi Exchange-Traded Funds market has also experienced substantial growth. Since its launch in 2010 with three ETFs focused on local equities, the sector has expanded to include sukuk ETFs for fixed-income exposure and gold ETFs.

In 2022, there were eight ETFs with a total of SR1.5 billion in assets under management. By 2023, this number had increased to 11 ETFs, with AUM rising to SR6.5 billion.

“Yet, we believe the ETF sector still has room for development and can play a bigger role in market transformation,” Hamdan said.

He continued: “This year, the CMA will conduct a full analysis of the ETF ecosystem to explore new strategies, such as active ETFs, and improve the efficiency of basket creation and liquidity enhancement mechanisms.”

The CMA is also focused on enhancing data dissemination and introducing measures such as short selling and securities lending for ETFs, which will make the market more attractive to both local and international investors.

Hamdan highlighted the growing interest from foreign investors, noting that several ETFs listed in other markets are now investing in Saudi equities.

Foreign investment

The CMA has made significant strides in opening the Kingdom’s market to foreign investors, a process that began two decades ago with the introduction of direct access for foreign residents. In 2015, the Qualified Foreign Investor regime was launched, marking a key milestone in the liberalization of Saudi markets. Since then, ongoing regulatory changes have further eased foreign access and reduced restrictions.

“These efforts have led to a fivefold increase in the number of QFIs over the past four years. By the end of 2023, QFI ownership in the Saudi market had surged to SR422 billion, a remarkable 2,000 percent increase over the past four years,” Hamdan said.

With these continued regulatory advancements, Saudi Arabia’s capital market is set for further growth, diversification, and deeper global integration, all in line with the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 objectives.


Saudi Arabia shortlists 30 firms for 22 quarry licenses in Eastern Province, Tabuk

Saudi Arabia shortlists 30 firms for 22 quarry licenses in Eastern Province, Tabuk
Updated 19 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia shortlists 30 firms for 22 quarry licenses in Eastern Province, Tabuk

Saudi Arabia shortlists 30 firms for 22 quarry licenses in Eastern Province, Tabuk

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia has shortlisted 30 companies for 22 mining licenses to extract sand and gravel in the Eastern Province and Tabuk, advancing its mining sector expansion and economic diversification. 

The Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources said the permits cover Northwest Salwa Western Complex, Al-Masna Crushers Complex, and South Wadi Amq Complex. 

The process, which received 49 applications, marks another step in Saudi Arabia’s push to develop mining as a third pillar of its industrial base, alongside oil and petrochemicals, with efforts ongoing to tap into the Kingdom’s estimated $2.5 trillion of mineral wealth. 

In the Eastern Province, three companies — Saleh Abdul Aziz Al Rashid and Sons Co., Sana Al Sharqiya Contracting Co., and Asas Al Muasim Contracting Co. — have been prequalified for sand extraction at Northwest Salwa Western Complex.

For gravel mining at Al-Masna Crushers Complex, northeast of Hafar Al-Batin, the contenders include Saleh Abdul Aziz Al Rashid and Sons Co., Sana Al Sharqiya Contracting Co., and Al-Yamamah Co. for Commercial Works and Contracting.

Meanwhile, 24 companies will compete for gravel extraction rights at South Wadi Amq Complex in Tabuk, including Tabuk Modern Contracting Co., Mega Co., and Suleiman bin Saleh Al Muhailib Mining Co.

In December, the Taadeen platform introduced a competitive bidding process to secure a stable domestic supply of essential construction materials.

A month earlier, the ministry awarded 11 mining exploration permits covering 850 sq. km across Riyadh, Makkah, and Asir, with one national company and five alliances of 10 local and international firms securing rights.

The ministry stressed that these efforts are crucial to maximizing the value of Saudi Arabia’s mineral resources and establishing mining as a key pillar of the Kingdom’s economic future.

The news of the shortlist came in the same week as it was announced nearly SR29 billion ($7.7 billion) in investments is being directed toward the city of Wa’ad Al-Shamal as it aims to become a major hub for the Kingdom’s mining industry.

The vast majority of the funding — SR28 billion — is for the launch of Ma’aden’s Phosphate 3 project, backed by the Shareek program.

This initiative is set to increase Saudi Arabia’s phosphate production capacity to 9 million tonnes annually, building upon the existing Phosphate 1 and Phosphate 2 projects, which each produce 3 million tonnes.