Global markets fall as Trump’s tariffs roil world trade

Breaking News Global markets fall as Trump’s tariffs roil world trade
Stock brokers monitor share prices on a digital screen during a trading session at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as index plummeted amid a global market crash, in Karachi on April 7, 2025. (AFP)
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Global markets fall as Trump’s tariffs roil world trade

Global markets fall as Trump’s tariffs roil world trade
  • Pakistan Stock Exchange falls rapidly, suspending trading for an hour after a 5% drop in KSE-100 index
  • Middle East stock markets tumble as they struggled with dual hit of new US tariffs, oil prices decline

Global markets plunged Monday following last week’s two-day meltdown on Wall Street, and President Donald Trump said he won’t back down on his sweeping new tariffs, which have roiled global trade.

Countries are scrambling to figure out how to respond to the tariffs, with China and others retaliating quickly.

Trump’s tariff blitz fulfilled a key campaign promise as he acted without Congress to redraw the rules of the international trading system. It was a move decades in the making for Trump, who has long denounced foreign trade deals as unfair to the US

The higher rates are set to be collected beginning Wednesday, ushering in a new era of economic uncertainty with no clear end in sight.

Here’s the latest:

Chinese officials meet business representatives from Tesla and other US companies. 

Chinese government officials met business representatives from Tesla, GE Healthcare and other US companies on Sunday. It called on them to issue “reasonable” statements and take “concrete actions” on addressing the issue of tariffs.

“The United States in recent days has used all sorts of excuses to announce indiscriminate tariffs on all trading partners, including China, severely harming the rules-based multilateral trade system,” said Ling Ji, a vice minister of commerce, at the meeting with 20 US companies.

“China’s countermeasures are not only a way to protect the rights and interests of companies, including American ones, but are also to urge the US to return to the right path of the multilateral trading system,” Ling added.




A man looks at a screen showing Chinese stock market movements as he uses his mobile phone in Beijing on April 7, 2025. (AFP)

Ling also promised that China would remain open to foreign investment, according to a readout of the meeting from the Ministry of Commerce.

Malaysia wants Southeast Asia to present a united response to tariffs

Malaysia’s Trade Minister Zafrul Abdul Aziz said his country wants to forge a united response from Southeast Asia to the sweeping US tariffs.

Malaysia, which is the chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations this year, will lead the regional bloc’s special Economic Ministers’ Meeting on April 10 in Kuala Lumpur to discuss the broader implication of the tariff measures on regional trade and investment, Zafrul told a news conference on Monday.

“We are looking at the investment flow, macroeconomic stability and ASEAN’s coordinated response to this tariff issue,” Zafrul said.

ASEAN leaders will also meet to discuss member states’ strategies and to mitigate potential disruptions to regional supply chain networks.

Pakistan plans to send a government delegation to Washington this month to discuss how to avoid the 29% tariffs imposed by the US on imports from Pakistan, officials said Monday.

The development came two days after Pakistan’s prime minister asked its finance minister to send him recommendations for resolving the issue. The US imports around $5 billion worth of textiles and other products from Pakistan, which heavily relies on loans from the International Monetary Fund and others.

The Pakistan Stock Exchange fell rapidly on Monday. The exchange suspended trading for an hour after a 5% drop in its main KSE-30 index.

Mideast markets follow oil prices lower

Middle East stock markets tumbled as they struggled with the dual hit of the new US tariffs and a sharp decline in oil prices, squeezing energy-producing nations that rely on those sales to power their economies and government spending.
Benchmark Brent crude is down by nearly 15% over the last five days of trading, with a barrel of oil costing just over $63. That’s down nearly 30% from a year ago, when a barrel cost over $90.

That cost per barrel is far lower than the estimated break-even price for producers. That’s coupled with the new tariffs, which saw the Gulf Cooperation Council states of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates hit with 10% tariffs. Other Mideast nations face higher tariffs, like Iraq at 39% and Syria at 41%.

The Dubai Financial Market exchange fell 5% as it opened for the week. The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange fell 4%.

Markets that opened Sunday saw losses as well. Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul stock exchange fell over 6% in trading. The giant of the exchange, Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil company Aramco, fell over 5% on its own, wiping away billions in market capitalization for the world’s sixth-most-valuable company.

Beijing struck a note of confidence on Monday even as markets in Hong Kong and Shanghai tumbled.

“The sky won’t fall. Faced with the indiscriminate punches of US taxes, we know what we are doing and we have tools at our disposal,” wrote The People’s Daily, the Communist Party’s official mouthpiece.

China announced a slew of countermeasures on Friday evening aimed at Trump’s tariffs, including its own 34% tariffs on all goods from the US set to go in effect on Wednesday.
Australian dollar drops to levels last seen early in pandemic

The Australian dollar fell below 60 US cents on Monday for the first time since the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic.




A photo illustration shows a mobile phone displaying a graph of the Australian stock market figures at the close of trading, in Sydney on April 7, 2025. (AFP)

The drop reflected concerns over the Chinese economy and market expectations for four interest rate cuts in Australia this calendar year, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said.

“What our modeling shows is that we expect there to be big hits to American growth and Chinese growth and a spike in American inflation as well,” Chalmers said.

“We expect more manageable impacts on the Australian economy, but we still do expect Australian GDP to take a hit and we expect there to be an impact on prices here as well,” he added.

The Trump administration assigned Australia the minimum baseline 10% tariff on imports in the United States. The US has enjoyed a trade surplus with Australia for decades.

Indian stocks fell sharply on Monday, seeing their biggest single-day drop in percentage terms since March 2020 amid the pandemic.

The benchmark BSE Sensex and the Nifty 50 index both dropped about 5% after trading opened but then recovered slightly. Both were later trading down about 4 percent.

President Donald Trump said Sunday that he won’t back down on his sweeping tariffs on imports from most of the world unless countries even out their trade with the US, digging in on his plans to implement the taxes that have sent financial markets reeling, raised fears of a recession and upended the global trading system.

Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump said he didn’t want global markets to fall, but also that he wasn’t concerned about the massive sell-off either, adding, “sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something.”

His comments came as global financial markets appeared on track to continue sharp declines once trading resumes Monday, and after Trump’s aides sought to soothe market concerns by saying more than 50 nations had reached out about launching negotiations to lift the tariffs.

“I spoke to a lot of leaders, European, Asian, from all over the world,” Trump said. “They’re dying to make a deal. And I said, we’re not going to have deficits with your country. We’re not going to do that, because to me a deficit is a loss. We’re going to have surpluses or at worst, going to be breaking even.”

Asian markets plunged on Monday following last week’s two-day meltdown on Wall Street, and US President Donald Trump said he won’t back down on his sweeping tariffs on imports from most of the world unless countries even out their trade with the US

Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index lost nearly 8% shortly after the market opened on Monday. By midday, it was down 6%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 9.4%, while the Shanghai Composite index was down 6.2%, and South Korea’s Kospi lost 4.1%

US futures also signaled further weakness.

Market observers expect investors will face more wild swings in the days and weeks to come, with a short-term resolution to the trade war appearing unlikely.


Oil tumbles further as US-China trade tensions fuel recession fears

Oil tumbles further as US-China trade tensions fuel recession fears
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Oil tumbles further as US-China trade tensions fuel recession fears

Oil tumbles further as US-China trade tensions fuel recession fears

LONDON : Oil prices extended last week’s losses on Monday, with West Texas Intermediate falling more than 4 percent, as escalating trade tensions between the US and China stoked fears of a recession that would reduce demand for crude.

Brent futures declined $2.54, or 3.9 percent, to $63.04 a barrel at 10:45 a.m. Saudi time, while US WTI crude futures lost $2.5, or 4.03 percent, to $59.49. Both benchmarks dropped their lowest since April 2021.

Oil plunged 7 percent on Friday as China ramped up tariffs on US goods, escalating a trade war that has led investors to price in a higher probability of recession. Last week, Brent lost 10.9 percent, while WTI dropped 10.6 percent.

“It’s hard to see a floor for crude unless the panic in the markets subsides and it’s hard to see that happening unless Trump says something to arrest snowballing fears over a global trade war and recession,” said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

Responding to US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, China said on Friday it would impose additional levies of 34 percent on American goods, confirming investor fears that a full-blown global trade war is underway.

Imports of oil, gas and refined products were given exemptions from Trump’s sweeping new tariffs, but the policies could stoke inflation, slow economic growth and intensify trade disputes, weighing on oil prices.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday that Trump’s new tariffs are “larger than expected,” and the economic fallout, including higher inflation and slower growth, likely will be as well.

Adding to the price changes, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies decided to advance plans for output increases. The group now aims to return 411,000 barrels per day to the market in May, up from the previously planned 135,000 bpd.

“This potential influx of supply, reversing cuts maintained over the past two years, represents a major shift in market dynamics and acts as a significant headwind for prices,” said Sugandha Sachdeva, founder of SS WealthStreet, a New Delhi-based research firm.

Over the weekend, top OPEC+ ministers stressed the need for full compliance with oil output targets and called for overproducers to submit plans by April 15 to compensate for pumping too much.

On the geopolitical front, Iran on Sunday rejected US demands that it hold direct nuclear talks or face strikes. Russia claimed to have captured Basivka in Ukraine’s Sumy region and said its forces were attacking multiple nearby settlements. 


Riyadh Air receives Air Operator Certificate, set to launch flights in 2025

Riyadh Air receives Air Operator Certificate, set to launch flights in 2025
Updated 06 April 2025
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Riyadh Air receives Air Operator Certificate, set to launch flights in 2025

Riyadh Air receives Air Operator Certificate, set to launch flights in 2025

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh Air has received approval from the General Authority of Civil Aviation to commence its flight operations, according to a statement released on Sunday.

The airline, owned by the Public Investment Fund, was granted the Air Operator Certificate after successfully meeting all regulatory, safety, and operational standards.

This milestone aligns with Riyadh Air’s goal of connecting over 100 international cities by 2030 and contributing more than $20 billion to the Kingdom’s economy.

Additionally, the airline aims to enhance the travel experience by leveraging digital technology to streamline bookings and airport procedures, catering to Saudi Arabia’s young, tech-savvy population, as highlighted by CEO Tony Douglas.

During the certificate delivery ceremony, Saudi Minister of Transport and Logistics Saleh Al-Jasser told Al-Ekhbariya: “We congratulate Riyadh Air, the Public Investment Fund, and the Saudi citizens on the successful completion of the licensing process and the official issuance of the Air Operator Certificate.”

He further emphasized that Riyadh Air is now fully certified to operate, marking a significant milestone in the initiative set in motion by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s strategy, which tasked PIF with launching the carrier.

“Establishing an airline of this scale is a monumental task, but the process is progressing smoothly. We are now in the final stages, with the next step being the launch of the first flight before the end of this year,” the minister remarked.

Al-Jasser also highlighted that the Kingdom is in the midst of restructuring its aviation infrastructure and launching several initiatives aimed at advancing the country’s aviation sector.

“The transport strategy includes restructuring the aviation sector, transitioning from a single operator model to a multi-operator system,” he said.

The minister added: “King Salman International Airport Development Co. is making steady progress in finalizing the airport’s design, with construction already underway. This comprehensive project includes passenger terminals, runways, private aviation facilities, and technical services, creating a fully integrated aviation city that is being developed as planned.”

Al-Jasser further noted that development projects are ongoing at airports in Jazan, Hail, and Qassim, as well as in Al-Baha, Abha, Taif, and Al-Jouf.

“Saudi airports have made significant strides in regulations, legislation, and services, which have attracted investments, strengthened passenger rights, and enhanced service quality,” he said.

The minister also emphasized: “We’ve expanded from 100 destinations connected to the Kingdom’s airports to 172 destinations, with the aviation strategy being a comprehensive plan for the future.”


Saudi Aramco cuts oil prices to Asia to four-month low

Saudi Aramco cuts oil prices to Asia to four-month low
Updated 06 April 2025
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Saudi Aramco cuts oil prices to Asia to four-month low

Saudi Aramco cuts oil prices to Asia to four-month low

RIYADH: Saudi Aramco on Sunday cut its crude oil prices for Asian buyers in May to their lowest in four months, an official document showed.

This is the second consecutive month Aramco has lowered its prices. The company also lowered April prices for other grades it sells to Asia by $2.30 per barrel.

Aramco cut the May official selling price for flagship Arab Light crude by $2.30 to $1.20 a barrel above the average of Oman and Dubai prices, a pricing document from the producer showed.

The company also lowered April prices for other grades it sells to Asia by $2.30 per barrel.

Eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly agreed on Thursday to advance their plan to phase out oil output cuts by increasing output by 411,000 barrels per day in May, a decision that prompted oil prices to extend earlier sharp losses.

Prior to the news, Arab Light price for Asia had been expected to fall by $1.80 to $2 in a Reuters survey, tracking the steep declines in benchmark prices in March.

Saudi Aramco’s crude oil is classified into five grades based on density: Super Light (greater than 40), Arab Extra Light (36-40), Arab Light (32-36), Arab Medium (29-32), and Arab Heavy (below 29). These price changes influence the cost of approximately 9 million barrels per day of crude oil shipped to Asia, setting price benchmarks for other major oil producers such as Iran, Kuwait, and Iraq.

For North America, Aramco has set the May OSP for Arab Light crude at $3.60 per barrel above the Argus Sour Crude Index.

Spot premium of Dubai averaged at $1.38 per barrel in March, down from $3.33 per barrel, the average in February following more Russian supply returning to Asia since March.


Markets in freefall: Gulf bourses hit hard by US tariffs

Markets in freefall: Gulf bourses hit hard by US tariffs
Updated 06 April 2025
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Markets in freefall: Gulf bourses hit hard by US tariffs

Markets in freefall: Gulf bourses hit hard by US tariffs

RIYADH: Gulf bourses experienced a downturn on Sunday as fresh US tariffs dampened investor confidence across the region, leading to widespread sell-offs in line with last week’s global market slump.

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark Tadawul All Share Index experienced a significant drop of 6.78 percent during today’s trading session, losing 805.46 points to close at 11,077.19. This marks its steepest single-day decline in months. The total trading volume for the index reached SR8.43 billion ($2.24 billion), with only one stock advancing and 252 retreating.

The MSCI Tadawul Index also saw a decline, falling by 98.60 points, or 6.56 percent to settle at 1,405.55.

Meanwhile, the Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, dropped by 1,992.71 points, or 6.5 percent, closing at 28,648.22. Notably, 89 listed stocks advanced in Nomu, while 11 retreated.

The worst performer of the day on the main market was Methanol Chemicals Co., whose share price fell by 10 percent to SR12.06, while the only positive performer stock was Nama Chemicals Co. with its share price surging by 0.5 percent to SR30.45.

In an interview with Arab News, Gaby Tchennozian, chief investment officer at a Dubai-based family office, highlighted that global market turbulence — triggered by an escalating US-led trade war—has not spared the Gulf region.

Gaby Tchennozian, chief investment officer at a Dubai-based family office. Supplied

“Even though the region isn’t directly involved in the trade tensions, the spillover is already being felt in markets,” he said.

Qatar’s QE Index declined by 4.23 percent, while Kuwait’s Premier Market Index dropped 5.69 percent. Other regional markets were similarly affected, with Muscat’s MSX 30 Index falling by 2.62 percent and the Bahrain All Share Index down by 1 percent. Investors are closely monitoring the impact of escalating trade tensions and the recent decline in oil prices.

This followed the announcement by US President Donald Trump of a 10 percent reciprocal tariff on Gulf imports.

Although UAE markets were closed on Sunday, the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange ended the previous week with a 1.9 percent loss on Friday. Similarly, Dubai’s DFM General Index closed 1.5 percent lower on April 4, indicating that further declines could occur when trading resumes on Monday. 

“For investors, the lesson isn’t just about reacting to headlines. It’s about building portfolios that can weather unexpected shocks,” Tchennozian noted.

In Egypt, trading was temporarily halted in several stocks on Sunday for 10 minutes after having dropped by 5 and 10 percent, in line with market regulations designed to prevent excessive volatility.

Tchennozian anticipates that market turbulence will persist for the next 2-3 months due to continued uncertainty.

While OPEC’s production increase was overshadowed by news of US tariffs, oil prices remain near GCC break-even levels. However, they could decline further if global trade weakens.

Potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may provide some relief, but tensions in the Red Sea are dampening market sentiment.

Tchennozian cautioned that if trade wars escalate or regional conflicts intensify, this volatility could extend well into late 2025.

Tariff turmoil rattles markets 

The White House confirmed on April 2 that a 10 percent tariff on Gulf Cooperation Council imports, effective April 5, was imposed to address what President Trump described as “long-standing unfair trade practices.”

Although the Gulf states were spared from more severe penalties—41 percent for Syria and 39 percent for Iraq—the move has raised concerns about rising import costs for US-sourced goods, particularly in sectors like construction and electronics.

“These tariffs will remain in effect until such a time as President Trump determines that the threat posed by the trade deficit and underlying nonreciprocal treatment is satisfied, resolved, or mitigated,” the White House said in a statement on April 2. 

Banking sector hit hardest

Gulf banking stocks were hit hardest amid growing fears of a potential US economic slowdown. The sell-off mirrored the steep losses seen on Wall Street on April 4, where the S&P 500 plummeted 9.58 percent, wiping out $5 trillion in market value and marking one of its worst declines in 70 years, according to Reuters.

The Nasdaq Composite Index also dropped by 5.8 percent on Friday, losing 962.8 points and officially entering bear market territory, driven by mounting global economic concerns.

Oil prices add to the pressure

Although the White House confirmed that oil and gas imports would be exempt from the new tariffs, Saudi oil giant Aramco still experienced a dip in market value during Sunday’s trading session. Its shares fell by 5.25 percent on Sunday to reach SR24.92, leading to a decrease of SR333.9 billion in market capitalization to settle at SR6.03 trillion.

For the GCC, the White House’s exemption is significant, as oil and gas constitute over 60 percent of Saudi Arabia’s exports to the US and remain a vital part of Gulf-US trade relations.

Oil prices plunged 7 percent on Friday, hitting a three-year low, after China retaliated in the escalating trade war by imposing 34 percent tariffs on all American goods, effective April 10.

This move, coinciding with global preparations for countermeasures against Trump’s tariffs—the highest in over a century—sent shockwaves through markets, with investors increasingly factoring in recession risks.

JP Morgan raised its forecast for a US and global recession to 60 percent, up from 40 percent, warning that escalating tariff tensions are undermining business confidence and threatening to derail global growth.

S&P Global also adjusted its “subjective” odds of a US recession, raising them to 30-35 percent, up from 25 percent in March.

Goldman Sachs had already revised its US recession risk to 35 percent from 20 percent ahead of the April 2 tariff announcement, citing weakening economic fundamentals.

HSBC noted on Thursday that the recession narrative is likely to strengthen, although markets have already factored in some of the risks.

Tchennozian further emphasized that Gulf markets are bearing the pressure as global indices continue to slump due to the ongoing US-led trade war. “GCC governments must act swiftly and decisively to reassure investors and safeguard their economies,” he said.

He suggested that this could be achieved by ramping up infrastructure spending while central banks ensure liquidity, particularly for small and medium enterprises.

Additionally, sovereign funds may need to step in with market stabilization measures, alongside diversifying trade toward Asia and Africa to mitigate the impact.

“Above all, clear and consistent communication from policymakers is key to reassuring investors that the region is not just weathering the storm—but actively steering through it,” he concluded.


Islamabad, Beijing sign agreement to boost Pakistan’s cotton production

Islamabad, Beijing sign agreement to boost Pakistan’s cotton production
Updated 06 April 2025
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Islamabad, Beijing sign agreement to boost Pakistan’s cotton production

Islamabad, Beijing sign agreement to boost Pakistan’s cotton production
  • As per agreement, Chinese and Pakistani institutes will work on genetically improving cotton to increase its production
  • Cotton is one of Pakistan’s most important crops, having a massive 51% share in country’s total foreign exchange earnings

ISLAMABAD: Two prominent institutes owned by the governments in China and Pakistan have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to boost Pakistan’s cotton production through technological methods, state broadcaster reported on Sunday. 

Cotton is one of Pakistan’s most important cash crops. At present, Pakistan is the fifth-largest producer of cotton and the third-largest producer of cotton yarn in the world, according to the Ayub Agricultural Institute. 

Cotton has a 0.8% share in Pakistan’s GDP and a massive 51% share in the country’s total foreign exchange earnings. Cotton production in Pakistan has contributed to a vibrant textile industry with over 1,000 ginning factories and around 400 textile mills across the country. 

“The MoU has been signed between the Ayub Agricultural Research Institute of Pakistan (AAIR) and the Institute of Cotton Research (ICR) of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,” Radio Pakistan said in a report. 

It said that as per the agreement, AAIR and ICR will work on genetically improving cotton to increase its production and promote Pakistan’s cotton industry globally.

ICR is China’s only state-level organization for professional cotton research. It focuses on basic and applied research, and organizes and presides over major national cotton research projects that address significant science and technology-related issues in cotton production. 

Established in 1962, Punjab government’s AAIR describes itself as one of the country’s most prestigious research institutes that says its mission is to develop new varieties of crops and technologies for food safety. 

The agreement takes place as Pakistan faces a surge in cotton imports this year due to low production. According to the Pakistan Central Cotton Committee, factories in Pakistan have received 5.51 million bales of cotton as of January this year, a significant decline of 34% compared to last year.

Pakistan’s eastern Punjab province, which produces the most cotton out of all provinces in the country, grew 2.7 million bales, a decline of more than 36% compared to last year. 

Experts blame the low production of cotton due to irregular weather patterns brought about by climate change.