IMF highlights Saudi Arabia’s economic gains and Vision 2030 progress in latest review

IMF highlights Saudi Arabia’s economic gains and Vision 2030 progress in latest review
Saudi Arabia’s economic evolution continued to progress effectively, with modernization and diversification efforts advancing as planned. Shutterstock
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Updated 04 September 2024
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IMF highlights Saudi Arabia’s economic gains and Vision 2030 progress in latest review

IMF highlights Saudi Arabia’s economic gains and Vision 2030 progress in latest review
  • Non-oil sector demonstrated robust growth of 3.8%
  • Inflation in the country has decelerated significantly, dropping from a peak of 3.4% in January 2023 to 1.6% in May

RIYADH: The International Monetary Fund executive board has finalized its 2024 review of Saudi Arabia, recognizing the country’s major progress in its economic transformation through Vision 2030.

The consultation, held on July 31, focused on evaluating the Kingdom’s developments and policies, as well as the nation’s fiscal and monetary outlook.

According to the IMF, Saudi Arabia’s economic evolution continued to progress effectively, with modernization and diversification efforts advancing as planned. 

Despite a 0.8 percent contraction in the overall gross domestic product in 2023 due to oil production cuts, the non-oil sector demonstrated robust growth of 3.8 percent, fueled mainly by private consumption and investment. 

The unemployment rate in the Kingdom has hit historic lows, particularly with female labor force participation surpassing the 30 percent target set for 2030.

Inflation in the country has decelerated significantly, dropping from a peak of 3.4 percent in January 2023 to 1.6 percent in May, aided by an appreciating nominal effective exchange rate. 

However, rent prices have surged by about 10 percent, driven by the influx of expatriate workers and significant redevelopment projects in Riyadh and Jeddah. Wholesale prices have also edged up, reflecting increased input costs and rising wages for skilled workers.

The current account surplus narrowed to 3.2 percent of GDP in 2023, primarily due to lower oil exports and strong growth in investment-related imports. 

However, this was partially offset by a record surplus in the services balance, including a significant 38 percent increase in net tourism income. 

Saudi Arabia’s reserves remain ample, covering 15.8 months of imports by the end of 2023.

The banking sector in the Kingdom is on a solid footing, with stress tests indicating that banks and non-financial corporates are resilient even under severe adverse scenarios. 

While bank credit growth has moderated, it surpasses deposit maturation, particularly in the corporate sector. However, increased interlinkages between financial institutions and the sovereign could amplify systemic shocks, especially in response to fluctuations in oil prices.

The IMF projected the non-oil growth to reach 4.4 percent in the medium term, driven by stronger domestic demand as project implementation under Vision 2030 picks up. 

The phase-out of oil production cuts is expected to boost overall growth to 4.7 percent in 2025, with inflation remaining contained. The current account is anticipated to shift to a deficit, reflecting declining oil prices and continued strong investment-related imports.

The IMF emphasized the importance of maintaining fiscal prudence, safeguarding financial stability, and continuing structural reforms to support sustainable and inclusive growth in Saudi Arabia. 

The recalibration of investment spending under Vision 2030 was praised for mitigating overheating risks. 

The IMF also recommended further fiscal adjustments, including efforts to mobilize non-oil revenue and contain the wage bill to maintain strong buffers and meet intergenerational needs.

The organization commended Saudi Arabia’s commitment to achieving net zero emissions by 2060 and highlighted the progress in renewable energy and power efficiency. However, it said that additional efforts are needed to support these targets fully.


Oman trade surplus grows 2% in November to reach $18.5bn  

Oman trade surplus grows 2% in November to reach $18.5bn  
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Oman trade surplus grows 2% in November to reach $18.5bn  

Oman trade surplus grows 2% in November to reach $18.5bn  

RIYADH: Oman’s trade surplus rose 2 percent year on year by the end of November, reaching 7.14 billion Omani rials ($18.5 billion), up from 6.99 billion rials in the same period of 2023. 

The increase, driven largely by a surge in oil and gas exports, saw total merchandise exports grow 7.7 percent year on year to 22.23 billion rials, while imports rose 10.6 percent to 15.09 billion rials, according to preliminary data from the National Center for Statistics and Information. 

Oil and gas exports surged 19.7 percent to 14.99 billion rials, compared to 12.53 billion rials in the same period of 2023.   

Crude oil exports rose 2.5 percent to 9.13 billion rials, while refined oil exports saw a sharp increase of 174.9 percent to 3.57 billion rials. Liquefied natural gas exports, however, declined slightly by 1.1 percent to 2.30 billion rials.  

The UAE was Oman’s top trade partner in non-oil exports, with trade reaching 935 million rials, an 8.1 percent increase from November 2023.   

The UAE also remained the leading destination for re-exports from Oman at 526 million rials and was the top exporter to Oman, supplying 3.60 billion rials worth of goods.  

Saudi Arabia ranked second in non-oil exports from Oman, totaling 764 million rials, followed by South Korea with 611 million rials.   

Iran was the second-largest re-export destination at 335 million rials, followed by Kuwait at 110 million rials.   

Among exporters to Oman, China ranked second with 1.62 billion rials, followed by Kuwait at 1.49 billion rials.  

Oman’s trade surplus is part of a regional trend as the Gulf Cooperation Council continues to play a significant role in global trade.   

The latest data shows that the GCC achieved a total trade volume of $1.5 trillion, securing its position as the world’s sixth-largest trader and accounting for 3.4 percent of global trade in 2023.  

Oman’s non-oil merchandise exports declined by 16.6 percent to 5.64 billion rials in November, down from 6.77 billion rials a year earlier. Mineral products remained the largest category within non-oil exports at 1.62 billion rials, despite a 35.2 percent drop.   

Base metals and related products fell 1.1 percent to 1.20 billion rials, while plastics and rubber products grew 10.1 percent to 896 million rials.   

Exports of chemical industry products dropped 22 percent to 725 million rials, and live animals and animal products declined 12.3 percent to 320 million rials.  

Re-exports from Oman grew 18.3 percent to 1.59 billion rials. Transport equipment re-exports rose 2.1 percent to 385 million rials, while electrical machinery and equipment fell 4.1 percent to 346 million rials.   

Re-exported food, beverages, and liquids increased by 30.2 percent to 168 million Omani rials, and mineral product re-exports climbed 43.1 percent to 119 million Omani rials. However, re-exports of live animals and animal products declined 13.3 percent to 89 million rials.  

On the import side, mineral products accounted for the largest share, totaling 4.21 billion rials, up 9.5 percent.   

Imports of electrical machinery and equipment grew 26 percent to 2.61 billion rials, while base metals and related products declined 1.2 percent to 1.45 billion rials.   

Chemical industry imports rose 2.7 percent to 1.40 billion rials, and transport equipment imports increased by 13.1 percent to 1.35 billion rials. Other imported products totaled 4.07 billion rials.  

Oman’s crude oil exports totaled approximately 308.42 million barrels by the end of December, with an average price per barrel of $81.2.  

Oil exports accounted for 84.9 percent of the country’s total oil production, which stood at 363.29 million barrels for the year.   

However, total oil exports saw a slight decline of 0.6 percent compared to December 2023, when Oman exported 310.33 million barrels.   

This decrease aligned with a 5.1 percent drop in overall oil production, which fell from 382.77 million barrels in the previous year.    


Saudi brokerage firm Derayah Financial sets IPO price range at up to $8 per share

Saudi brokerage firm Derayah Financial sets IPO price range at up to $8 per share
Updated 24 min 25 sec ago
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Saudi brokerage firm Derayah Financial sets IPO price range at up to $8 per share

Saudi brokerage firm Derayah Financial sets IPO price range at up to $8 per share
  • Offering comprises 49.95 million shares — equivalent to 20% of the company’s issued share capital
  • It is expected to raise between SR1.35 billion and SR1.50 billion

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s independent digital investment platform Derayah Financial Co. has set the price range for its initial public offering at SR27 ($7.20) to SR30 per share, valuing the company at up to SR7.49 billion. 

The institutional book-building period will run from Feb. 2— 9, with the final offer price determined thereafter, the company said in a statement. 

The offering, comprising 49.95 million shares — equivalent to 20 percent of the company’s issued share capital — is expected to raise between SR1.35 billion and SR1.50 billion. 

Derayah Financial’s planned IPO aligns with Saudi Arabia’s broader push to develop its fintech sector, which has seen significant growth in recent years. 

The Financial Sector Development Program aims to boost fintech’s economic contribution, enhance financial inclusion, and drive innovation in digital financial services. 

The IPO consists of a partial sale by existing shareholders, with the proceeds distributed among them. The Public Investment Fund-backed company said it would not receive any funds from the offering. 

The shares will be listed on the Saudi Exchange following regulatory approvals. According to the release, current shareholders will retain an 80 percent stake in the company post-listing, with a 24-month lock-up period applying to at least 60 percent of the stock held by major stakeholders, including executives and board members. 

The company said the offering is open to institutional investors, including qualified foreign institutions, investment funds, and Gulf Cooperation Council-based investors. 

It added that up to 10 percent of the offering, or 4.94 million shares, will be allocated to individual investors, with the remainder reserved for institutional buyers. If retail demand is strong, the institutional allocation could be reduced to 90 percent of the total offering. 

Retail subscription is scheduled to open on Feb. 20 and close on Feb. 22, with final share allocation set for Feb. 27, the release added. 

Derayah Financial is among the leading independent firms in brokerage revenues and holds the third-largest market share in Saudi Arabia’s digital investment sector, with assets under management totaling SR15.1 billion as of June 30. 

Saudi Arabia has seen a surge in IPO activity in recent years, leading the GCC region by raising $4.1 billion across 42 offerings, according to a report from the Kuwait Financial Center, also known as Markaz. 

The report also said that IPO proceeds in the GCC increased by 23 percent compared to 2023, reaching a total of $13.2 billion across 53 public offerings last year.


Startup of the Week – Egypt’s Qara targets Saudi Arabia following $2.6m funding round

Startup of the Week – Egypt’s Qara targets Saudi Arabia following $2.6m funding round
Updated 02 February 2025
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Startup of the Week – Egypt’s Qara targets Saudi Arabia following $2.6m funding round

Startup of the Week – Egypt’s Qara targets Saudi Arabia following $2.6m funding round

RIYADH: Egypt-based supply chain technology company Qara is preparing to expand into Saudi Arabia, leveraging a $2.6 million funding round to support its entry into the Kingdom.

The investment will be used to build a local team, implement its technology solutions, and address key challenges in supply chain traceability and product authentication for businesses in the Saudi market.

“This funding round will be helping us accelerate our expansion into Saudi Arabia, a key market for Qara,” said Hassan Abouzeed, founder and CEO of Qara, in an interview with Arab News.

“With this investment, we can scale our operations quickly, set up our local team, and implement our technology solutions. It enables us to deploy our platform, which focuses on supply chain traceability and product authentication, to businesses in Saudi Arabia, helping them address key challenges related to counterfeiting, transparency, and customer loyalty,” Abouzeed added.

Qara’s decision to expand into Saudi Arabia has been significantly supported by the Kingdom’s National Technology Development Program’s Relocate Initiative.

It offers critical incentives, such as financial support, access to local partners, and assistance in navigating regulations, Abouzeed explained.

“The NTDP’s Relocate Initiative has been instrumental in facilitating our smooth entry into Saudi Arabia. The ease of setting up operations and receiving guidance on navigating local regulations was a huge advantage for us,” he said.

“Moreover, Saudi Arabia’s emphasis on becoming a regional tech hub made it an ideal destination for Qara’s next phase of growth. The incentives from the Relocate Initiative, combined with the country’s strategic alignment with Vision 2030, provided a perfect ecosystem for us to expand and bring our solutions to the market,” he added.

Saudi Arabia’s broader emphasis on digital transformation and its Vision 2030 strategy also played a central role in Qara’s plans.

Abouzeed said: “The Kingdom is open to new innovations, and businesses are increasingly adopting digital solutions to improve efficiency, transparency, and security — areas where Qara’s platform can make a big impact.”

The company’s platform provides tools to combat counterfeiting and enhance visibility.

“Our platform is a comprehensive digital ecosystem that allows producers to authenticate and trace their products throughout the supply chain down to the end consumer,” said Abouzeed.

He noted that the platform has been particularly effective in the Middle East and Africa, where fragmented supply chains often face challenges related to counterfeiting and lack of visibility.

“With Qara, businesses can secure their products with unique digital identities, monitor their distribution in real-time, and foster deeper relationships with customers and distribution parties, ensuring brand integrity and driving growth,” he claimed.

“What truly differentiates us is our ability to not only authenticate and trace products but also establish a direct connection between producers and consumers. As Saudi Arabia’s logistics sector grows, Qara’s solutions will play a critical role in supporting this transformation,” he added.

With the funding secured, the company’s immediate priorities include building a local team and establishing partnerships in Saudi Arabia.

“We’ll also work on forging strategic partnerships with key players in complementary industries. We already started with a loyalty program partner, Walaplus, to expand our points redemption network for Saudi customers,” Abouzeed said.

He added that hiring local talent will be critical to success in the country, and the firm will focus on recruiting professionals who understand the local market, the culture, and the business landscape.

“We already started with hires in sales and product teams, and currently, we are prioritizing roles in our tech team, as these will help us deliver our solutions effectively,” Abouzeed said.

Qara also has ambitious revenue goals for its first year of operations in Saudi Arabia, he revealed, adding: “We are targeting that our business in Saudi Arabia will contribute to 15–20 percent of our overall business by the end of year one.”

In terms of industry focus, Qara sees strong demand for its solutions in sectors where product authenticity and traceability are critical.

“We see significant demand for Qara’s solutions in industries such as pharmaceuticals, construction materials, and consumer goods,” Abouzeed said.

“Additionally, with the government’s focus on Vision 2030, we believe that sectors like food security and electronics will also experience a growing demand for digital solutions that enhance product traceability and consumer trust.”

Beyond Saudi Arabia, Qara plans to expand into other Gulf Cooperation Council countries once its operations in the Kingdom are established — with the UAE and Qatar highlighted as having a high demand for innovative supply chain solutions

“We also see opportunities in Kuwait and Oman, where businesses are increasingly adopting digital technologies to improve their operations and protect their brands,” Abouzeed said.

The funding round, while successful, was not without challenges, particularly in the current economic climate with the global uncertainties and shifting market conditions, the CEO revealed.

“What helped us most was that we’ve been profitable since inception, while maintaining a growth of two to three times annually, which demonstrated our ability to build a sustainable and profitable business model even in challenging market conditions,” he said.


Saudi Arabia provides 39.4% of Japan’s oil imports in December

Saudi Arabia provides 39.4% of Japan’s oil imports in December
Updated 02 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia provides 39.4% of Japan’s oil imports in December

Saudi Arabia provides 39.4% of Japan’s oil imports in December

TOKYO: Saudi Arabia provided Japan with 39.4 percent of its oil imports in December 2024, amounting to 31.05 million barrels, according to figures released by the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry’s Agency of Natural Resources and Energy.

Japan imported 78.85 million barrels of oil in December, of which the Arab share was 96.3 percent or 75.94 million barrels. 

Arab countries continued to supply a significant proportion of Japan’s oil imports, with most coming from five sources: the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman.

The UAE emerged as the largest supplier, providing 35.97 million barrels, which accounted for 45.6 percent of the total imports. Kuwait, Qatar and Oman followed, contributing 5 million barrels (6.3 percent), 3.41 million barrels (4.3 percent), and about 0.5 million barrels (0.6 percent), respectively. 

Japan’s oil imports continue to be affected by geopolitical policies. With the ban on importing oil from Iran and Russia, the rest of its oil imports in December were sourced from Central and South America (1.8 percent), the US (1.3 percent), Oceania (0.4 percent) and Southeast Asia (0.2 percent).


Saudi banking sector dominating TASI trading, latest report reveals

Saudi banking sector dominating TASI trading, latest report reveals
Updated 02 February 2025
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Saudi banking sector dominating TASI trading, latest report reveals

Saudi banking sector dominating TASI trading, latest report reveals

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s banking sector led trading on the Kingdom’s stock exchange in 2024’s fourth quarter with a 17 percent market share, according to Tadawul’s latest report.

The industry was responsible for approximately SR66.42 billion ($17.7 billion) of transactions, ahead of the materials sector with SR45.04 billion, comprising 11.45 percent of the market.

The energy sector had 10.58 percent share in this period, with value traded reaching SR41.58 billion.

The banking sector also dominated the market for the entire year 2024, leading in share trading value with SR265.57 billion, according to Tadawul, accounting for 14.26 percent of the total traded value.

It was followed by the materials sector, which recorded SR249.32 billion, representing 13.39 percent, and the energy sector with SR225.27 billion, contributing 12.10 percent to the total traded value for the year.

These three sectors collectively represent a substantial 62.8 percent weight of the index. This concentration highlights the central role of banking, energy, and materials in shaping the performance of Tadawul, driven by the ongoing economic diversification under Vision 2030 and the Kingdom’s efforts to reduce its reliance on oil revenues.

Even though the energy sector claims the highest market capitalization, primarily influenced by Aramco with a substantial SR6.78 trillion market cap, it does not command the highest weight. This is due to the capped indices calculation methodology, with the banking sector surpassing it in terms of weight.

This methodology is used to prevent any single security from having a dominating influence on an index, and it is part of the Financial Sector Development Program’s key initiative under the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 to enhance the exchange’s product offering.

By balancing sector weights, Tadawul aims to create a more diversified and resilient market structure, reflecting the broader goals of economic transformation and investment appeal.

Saudi Aramco, the largest player in the industry on the market, recorded the highest activity at SR31.4 billion during the fourth quarter. 

The company’s majority of trades, or 47.15 percent, occurred in November according to data from Bloomberg, coinciding with Aramco announcing its profits and dividends payout for the quarter ending in September. 

The energy firm closed the fourth quarter with a 3.51 percent quarter-to-date increase in price at SR28.05 per share.

Al Rajhi came second in highest trades by value, totaling SR27.02 billion. The stock closed with a quarter-to-date rise of 8.49 percent at SR94.6 per share. 

The company’s financial results for the third quarter of 2024 showed SR5.1 billion profit, a 22.82 percent rise compared to the same period of the preceding year.

The Saudi telecom company STC, followed with value traded of SR13.62 billion however the stock price showed a 8.47 percent decline in the quarter-to-date at SR40 per share. The company had reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024 with profit of SR4.64 billion — an annual decline of 5.32 percent.

The stock with the highest trading volume and the largest price appreciation in the fourth quarter was Al Baha Investment and Development Co. On December 19, the company’s shareholders approved a 26.5 percent reduction in capital, lowering it from SR297 million to SR218.3 million.

Following this reduction, Al Baha announced that it had fully offset its accumulated losses, reducing them to zero percent of its capital. This achievement highlights the company’s efforts to improve its financial position. 

For the fourth quarter, the company saw a 56.67 percent quarter-to-date increase, with a closing price of SR0.47 per share.

Banking sector growth drivers

Saudi Arabia’s banking sector’s dominance reflects its critical role in driving the Kingdom’s economic transformation under Vision 2030.

This performance is closely tied to robust corporate lending, fueled by the ongoing implementation of mega-projects across construction, tourism, and infrastructure.

With corporate credit growth projected at 10 percent annually in 2025 according to a report by S&P Global, banks have been instrumental in financing the ambitious pipeline of Vision 2030 initiatives, particularly as the government pivots from oil dependency to diversifying its economy.

Declining interest rates have further supported lending growth, particularly in residential mortgages, which benefit from expanding demographics and rising urbanization.

The mortgage sector’s steady expansion, aided by accommodative monetary policy and population growth, has complemented the surge in corporate loans, creating a dual engine for credit growth according to S&P Global.

In parallel, Saudi banks’ capital adequacy ratio of 19.2 percent at the end of September highlights their strong capitalization, ensuring sufficient capacity to meet the growing financing needs tied to Vision 2030.

According to the agency’s report, profitability in the sector remains stable despite declining net interest margins, with return on assets expected to hover between 2.2 percent and 2.1 percent, supported by increased loan volumes.

While corporate lending comprises nearly 50 percent of total loans, floating interest rates have allowed banks to quickly adjust to monetary changes, partially offsetting margin pressures, they added.

Additionally, international capital market issuances are increasingly being utilized to fund growth, reflecting the sector’s strategic alignment with the government’s long-term objectives.

This banking sector performance also mirrors broader regional trends in the GCC, where economic diversification, high oil revenues, and infrastructure investments have driven financial market activity.

As Saudi Arabia continues to implement Vision 2030 projects and attract foreign direct investment, its banking sector is expected to remain a key enabler of economic transformation, maintaining its leadership on Tadawul and within the GCC’s financial ecosystem.

Foreign ownership in Saudi equity market

According to the latest report by the Capital Market Authority for the third quarter of 2024, Saudis — primarily government entities — held 95.12 percent ownership in the main stock market.

GCC investors accounted for 0.76 percent, while foreign ownership rose to 4.11 percent, up from 3.2 percent during the same period last year.

In terms of trading activity, foreign investors contributed significantly, accounting for 25.23 percent of the total buy value on the main stock market, equivalent to SR112.48 billion. 

On the sell side, they traded SR117.42 billion, representing 26.34 percent of the total sell value. This resulted in net purchases by foreign investors amounting to SR4.97 billion for the quarter.

In a recent development, Saudi Arabia announced on Jan. 27, 2025, that it will permit foreign investment in publicly listed companies owning real estate in the sacred cities of Makkah and Medina.

This move is part of the Kingdom’s strategy to attract more foreign capital and boost liquidity for projects related to Islamic pilgrimage. These investments will be limited to shares and convertible debt instruments, with a cap of 49 percent ownership by non-Saudi nationals.

The Capital Market Authority aims to boost investment, enhance the efficiency and appeal of the Saudi capital market, and strengthen its global competitiveness while supporting the domestic economy.

Part of this effort involves attracting foreign capital and ensuring sufficient liquidity to fund current and future development projects in Makkah and Madinah, solidifying the market as a vital source of financing for these initiatives.

In recent years, the Kingdom has introduced significant reforms, including an updated investment law to create a level playing field for local and foreign investors and eased restrictions on foreign ownership in the stock market, further cementing its position as a global investment hub.