IMF’s support for Egyptian economy to remain a priority, Georgieva says

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IMF’s support for Egyptian economy to remain a priority, Georgieva says

IMF’s support for Egyptian economy to remain a priority, Georgieva says

RIYADH: The International Monetary Fund’s commitment to supporting Egypt’s economic reforms will remain a priority, despite external pressures, according to managing director Kristalina Georgieva.

Speaking on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, the official reaffirmed her organization’s stance, emphasizing that political considerations fall outside its mandate.

This comes on the back of Egypt’s ongoing 46-month IMF loan program, which was initially approved in 2022 and expanded to $8 billion in 2024 amid an economic crisis marked by soaring inflation and acute foreign currency shortages. 

In an interview with Asharq, Georgieva acknowledged that Egypt faces economic headwinds, exacerbated by regional instability, including recent geopolitical tensions.

When asked whether the IMF would remain committed to the country regardless of any external pressures, Georgieva was firm in her response.

“We look at the macro position of a country, and we concentrate on the economy. There are matters of politics that are not in our domain. We are not the best institution to comment on that. So I can confirm that for the fund to support the Egyptian economy in the path of reforms, this is and will remain a priority,” she said.

Reflecting on the wider geopolitical situation facing Egypt, Georgieva said the country “has been going through some difficult times” because of the events in the region.

“We know that just the loss of revenues from the Suez Canal are hitting the fiscal position of Egypt significantly,” she said.

The IMF official highlighted the necessity of structural reforms aimed at enhancing competitiveness and strengthening private sector participation.

“I want to express my respect for some of the key brave steps that they have taken, for example, letting the exchange rate reflect market conditions, moving forward with a privatization program, being very keen on reducing subsidies so the country can be in a stronger position,” Georgieva said.

“Of course, the more the government does what is necessary, the stronger the position of Egypt. We are looking at the progress today. And, actually, our board will soon discuss the second review of the program,” she added.

Discussing the next steps in the IMF’s program with Egypt, Georgieva said: “We will be presenting the outcome of the review to our board of directors. There will be a discussion and a decision then taken by the board as management.”

She emphasized that the IMF has remained engaged with Egyptian authorities despite the rapidly changing global environment. “This is an environment of rapid change, not just in Egypt, everywhere in the world. We remain very engaged so we can get to a point of board discussion. And it is a matter of schedule,” she said.

Engagement with Syria

Addressing Syria’s engagement with the IMF, Georgieva noted that the institution’s involvement had been “unfortunately interrupted” since 2009.

“Even more unfortunate is what happened to the Syrian people. For far too long, they have suffered the consequences of a civil war. And we are very much praying that there would be a new page turned for Syria," she said.

Georgieva confirmed that engagement at the staff level has resumed to address significant gaps in economic data.

“There is already indication of the key institutions like the central bank that they would be looking for support to build institutional strength of Syria so it can function well for the benefit of the economy and the benefit of people,” she said.

When asked about the timeline for potential IMF assistance to the country, Georgieva emphasized that the speed of engagement depends on Syrian authorities.

“I was very encouraged to learn from my staff that first contacts have already taken place. And, as far as we are concerned, we stand ready to support Syria. It is a very important country for its own people, and you know very well it is also very important for the whole region. So as quickly as the conditions allow, that quickly we would move,” said the IMF official.

Organized by the IMF and Saudi Arabia, the high-level annual conference in AlUla brings together finance ministers, central bank governors, policymakers, and leaders from the public and private sectors. The two-day event serves as a platform to discuss global economic challenges and pathways for emerging markets.

During the interview, Georgieva highlighted the significance of the AlUla Conference, noting that it marks the first time emerging markets have gathered to discuss policy issues of shared interest.

“We have over 70 central bank governors, ministers of finance, and representatives of international organizations gathering here,” she said.

“The agenda is very interesting. All the topics you cover are being discussed today and tomorrow. Well, we hope it is a successful conference, and we are looking forward to the additions next year and so forth,” she added.


GCC private capital financings surge to $54.8bn: S&P Global

GCC private capital financings surge to $54.8bn: S&P Global
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GCC private capital financings surge to $54.8bn: S&P Global

GCC private capital financings surge to $54.8bn: S&P Global

JEDDAH: Private capital financing in the Gulf region has surged, reaching $54.8 billion between 2020 and 2024, a significant increase from the $10.4 billion raised in the previous five years, according to a new report. 

S&P Global’s latest findings suggest that this upward trend is expected to continue, driven by companies seeking alternatives to traditional bank funding. 

As more businesses underserved by banks turn to private financing, the region is set for further growth in private capital over the coming years.

The rise in interest from private capital providers is another key factor contributing to this trend. Historically, companies in the Gulf region have relied on banks, bonds, and sukuk to meet their financing needs.

The S&P report said: “Our analysis of private financing transactions shows that private financiers have expanded their reach over time to provide funding to more mature and established companies, not just those at early development stages. Established companies received 79 percent of private financings in December 2024, up from 31 percent in 2015.” 

It added that although these established firms could have easily secured the necessary funding through banks or capital markets, they opted for private financings, which offer faster or more streamlined execution, greater flexibility in terms, or more competitive pricing.

The number of transactions that were financed with private capital peaked at $20.4 billion in 2023, compared with $1.3 billion in 2015, the document noted.

This shift mirrors global trends, with the Middle East emerging as a key growth area for private capital in 2025. Government initiatives and sector reforms are driving this development, positioning private equity and venture capital as leading investment opportunities.

This transition is further exemplified by a rise in regional startup funding, marking a 92 percent increase in capital raised in November alone. These factors are expected to continue driving the growth in private capital financings across the region in the coming years.

The agency emphasized that the sharp decline over 2024 primarily resulted from improving financing conditions in local banking sectors, bond and sukuk markets, and the decline in interest rates. “Even so, the number of transactions in 2024 was still 2.7 times higher than in 2015, which is indicative of the strong fundamentals that underpin the increase in private capital financings,” said the report.

The analysis revealed that GCC issuers, including governments, raised $3.5 trillion over the past decade. It added that bond issuances, which accounted for 51 percent of the total amount raised in 2024, constituted the preferred method of financing, followed by financing from banks, which contributed 26 percent.

“Three other asset classes experienced a significant increase in GCC issuers’ funding mix: Sukuk issuances accounted for 19 percent of the amount raised in 2024, equity capital market transactions — such as IPOs— for 6 percent, and private capital financings for 3 percent,” the study said. 

S&P noted that investments were largely concentrated in the most significant deals. Over the past decade, the top 10 transactions represented around 80 percent of the total annual volume of private capital financings.

The agency does not anticipate private capital challenging the role of banks in the GCC region, as the overall volume of private financings remains relatively small.

On the demand side, the report added, private capital financings help early-stage firms become bankable, fueling growth opportunities within the financial ecosystem. Banks are often hesitant to lend to such companies without external support or guarantees.

Regarding supply, regional private capital providers, including sovereign wealth funds, will diversify their geographic exposure to reduce reliance on a single economy, the report said, adding: “GCC investors will remain on the radar of large companies that aim to raise money outside of the traditional banking system or capital markets, especially when interest rates are high.”
 


Emerging economies need access to world markets to avoid trade fragmentation, global leaders say

Emerging economies need access to world markets to avoid trade fragmentation, global leaders say
Updated 4 min 1 sec ago
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Emerging economies need access to world markets to avoid trade fragmentation, global leaders say

Emerging economies need access to world markets to avoid trade fragmentation, global leaders say

RIYADH: Fragmentation in global trade can be resolved only if emerging economies gain access to international markets and contribute to discussions shaping the economic landscape, several finance ministers said.

During a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies organized by the Saudi Ministry of Finance and the International Monetary Fund, Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy Wale Edun said that emerging economies should also try to create a friendly environment to attract domestic and international investments.

According to the EU, global trade fragmentation in the form of increased barriers and higher trade policy uncertainty could significantly reduce global output in the long term, with low-income countries likely to be more negatively affected. 

“We need world trade; we need open markets. As emerging economies, and developing countries, we need access to markets for our products, particularly for value-added manufacturing products. World trade growth is a tide that leads to all boats. It is definitely something which we advocate and which we look forward to achieving,” said Edun. 

He added: “This is a wake-up call. We need to reform our economies, need to stabilize, reduce inflation and create a conducive environment for investment, particularly domestic investment as well as foreign direct investments.”

Morocco’s Minister of Economy and Finance Nadia Fettah said that emerging economies are less capable of formulating strategies to combat issues surrounding trade tensions. 

“I think we have been going through several trade shocks last year, and we saw the beginning of fragmentation and tension for many reasons. I think, in emerging markets, we have more poor pockets than in these big countries that are designing the rules of trade and dynamics of the trade,” said Fettah. 

She added: “I think this fragmentation is beneficial to the biggest players in the economy and not for the middle class and the lowest in crisis.”

Fettah said that emerging market economies need globalization much more than advanced economies.

During the same panel discussion, Ukraine’s Finance Minister Sergii Marchenko stated that trade tensions are one of the most pressing and uncertain issues emerging market countries are working to resolve.

He added that emerging markets are less capable of formulating strategies to combat trade tensions as they have limited opportunities and resources. 

The Ukrainian minister also praised Saudi Arabia and said that the Kingdom is a good example of how an emerging economy can successfully combat trade disruptions and march ahead in the journey in a resilient manner. 

“The Kingdom is a good example for all of us to be tested and prove that we are good enough and strong enough to trade and be resilient,” said Marchenko. 

Edun further said that reduced financial inflows into emerging economies are one of the crucial factors that negatively impact these nations’ economic conditions. 

“I think the latest figures show that there is net outflow from emerging economies of $50 billion. For African economies, the latest figures show a deficit of $20 billion, and that is a very worrying trend, alongside the closing down and the tightening of world trade,” said the Nigerian minister. 

The vitality of participating in trade conversations

Fettah also emphasized that emerging markets should have opportunities to participate in international talks that shape global trade rules and regulations. 

“In this fragmentation, many emerging markets are not part of the conversation of the changing regulations and rules. We need to ask for permission to be part of the conversation. We never have a chance to have a transition or an adaptation plan to these new rules, and this needs to be changed,” she said. 

Edun echoed similar views and said that emerging economies still need to seek permission to enter such conversations despite the crucial importance of these countries in the global trade landscape. 

Marchenko supported the views of both the Nigerian and Moroccan ministers and said that world trade discussions are necessary and that Ukraine would like to be part of such conversations. 

Edun further said that emerging economies in Africa should increase trading with countries on the continent to boost development and the economy. 

“There have been huge inflows, relatively cheap and competitive Chinese products in our markets. In Africa, intra-African trade is just 14 percent of the total trade. I think the figure for other emerging markets is higher. In Asia, it is 40 percent. And that is where we look to find our response and increase the capacity to trade with each other.”

Geopolitical tensions

During the talk, Marchenko said the ongoing war with Russia negatively impacted Ukraine’s export trading capacity. 

“The impact of war is very devastating. For our exports to Nigeria, the impact was very huge. We lost up to 60 times our potential for exports in 2023. Nigeria did not receive wheat from Ukraine. The same with Morocco, 12 times decrease of our exports,” said the Ukrainian minister. 

Fettah also underscored the importance of global stability and peace and said that uncertainty due to geopolitical issues is affecting investments in emerging economies. 

“The most difficult thing is the uncertainty, which affects local investors but also all the FDIs. Everyone is waking up in the morning and seeing what has been announced the night before and how it will affect the future. We need peace to trade and we need peace to develop. We need visibility,” said Fettah. 

She added that countries should plan for mid and long-term goals, and they should develop a discipline to achieve this. 

“Day-to-day shocks and crises need immediate and expensive responses,” said Fettah. 

Future outlook 

Regarding the future outlook, Edun said that Africa could become the workforce of the world, considering its growing population and the availability of young talents. 

“Africa, in particularly countries like Nigeria, we have a very young population that is going to export services, and that will in fact be the workforce of the world because the population in Nigeria is expected to double from 200 million now to 400 million by 2050,” said the Nigerian minister. 

Marchenko said that Ukraine has shown its strengths both in the military and economic sectors during the tough times of war, adding that the IMF has provided the country with the necessary support whenever needed. 

“I want to praise our cooperation with the IMF. It provides us with necessary relief and it provides us anchor for any possible negotiations with our partners. We would like to have solutions through free flow of goods and services,” said Marchenko. 

Regarding the present and future outlook, Marchenko said: “Ukraine is trying hard to stabilize and manage to provide some kind of support for our business which operates in Ukraine. We are also trying to attract foreign direct investments.”


Egypt’s official reserve assets soar 36% annually to reach $45bn

Egypt’s official reserve assets soar 36% annually to reach $45bn
Updated 17 February 2025
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Egypt’s official reserve assets soar 36% annually to reach $45bn

Egypt’s official reserve assets soar 36% annually to reach $45bn

RIYADH: Egypt’s official reserve assets surged by nearly 36 percent year on year, reaching $45.05 billion in January, according to recent data. 

Figures from the Central Bank of Egypt show that the increase was primarily driven by a sharp rise in the value of gold reserves, which grew by 37 percent over the year, reaching $11.42 billion. 

Gold now represents around 25 percent of Egypt’s total reserves, reinforcing its role as a key hedge against global economic volatility and a valuable buffer for the country’s foreign exchange position. 

The growth in Egypt’s reserves was not limited to gold. A significant 70 percent rise in other reserve assets also contributed to the overall increase, representing approximately 49 percent of the total reserves. 

Data also showed that foreign currency reserves in convertible currencies remained relatively stable, edging up by just 1.05 percent to $11.2 billion in January. 

Special Drawing Rights, a form of international reserve asset issued by the International Monetary Fund, witnessed a dramatic decline of 91.55 percent, falling to just $31 million. 

This sharp drop suggests that Egypt has likely tapped into its SDR holdings to meet urgent liquidity needs, further highlighting the strain on the country’s foreign exchange resources. 

Meanwhile, other foreign currency assets, which include securities and deposits not classified as part of the Central Bank’s official reserve holdings, increased by 18.65 percent, reaching $14.06 billion.  

The rise was primarily driven by a surge in foreign deposits outside the official reserves, which rose by 53 percent to $10.17 billion. 

The need for enhanced liquidity in Egypt became especially pronounced throughout 2024. The country faced severe foreign exchange shortages, a sharp devaluation of the Egyptian pound, and mounting structural economic pressures. 

The Egyptian pound’s decline to a record low on the parallel market exacerbated trade disruptions and investor uncertainty, prompting urgent economic reforms. 

In response to these challenges, Egypt secured a landmark $35 billion agreement with Abu Dhabi’s ADQ in February, injecting critical reserves. 

In March, the country also received an $8 billion package from the International Monetary Fund, which provided essential support for fiscal and structural adjustments. 

The central bank’s decision to float the currency and implement interest rate hikes further helped restore stability. 

These policy measures not only helped attract foreign inflows but also boosted remittances, which contributed to the recovery of Egypt’s reserve levels. 


Global cooperation and AI key to boosting productivity in developing economies, say AlUla panelists 

Global cooperation and AI key to boosting productivity in developing economies, say AlUla panelists 
Updated 17 February 2025
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Global cooperation and AI key to boosting productivity in developing economies, say AlUla panelists 

Global cooperation and AI key to boosting productivity in developing economies, say AlUla panelists 

February 16-17RIYADH: Technology adoption, institutional capabilities, and entrepreneurship are crucial for driving productivity across developing economies, government and industry leaders insisted at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies. 

The event highlighted artificial intelligence, digital transformation, and global cooperation as key to strengthening financial stability, promoting sustainable growth, and enhancing economic resilience in these regions. 

This comes on the back of the growing importance of these technologies in enhancing financial decision-making, reducing risks, and increasing economic resilience by improving transparency and access to financial services.

Reflecting on previous discussions around the topic, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim, said: “We talked about diversification, but it was hard to get the political will and the whole-of-government and whole-of-nation action behind it. Today, we’re seeing it, and we’re trying to make it count.”

Al-Ibrahim emphasized that while transformative technologies play a crucial role in boosting productivity, their adoption is not a straightforward process. 

He noted that emerging economies cannot simply implement a technology support package and expect immediate results. Instead, he stressed the importance of developing the necessary capabilities and foundational elements to effectively integrate and benefit from these technologies. 

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 initiative has positioned both the private and public sectors to capitalize on artificial intelligence. 

“There are institutional capabilities in the private sector and, with Vision 2030, even in the public sector. Because of that, we’re seeing companies in generative AI flocking to companies such as Aramco and the energy sector because the use cases are clear, and the data is structured and ready to be used,” Al-Ibrahim added. 

Argentina’s Minister of Deregulation and State Transformation, Federico Sturzenegger, shared an optimistic perspective on AI’s impact, adding that the technology will accelerate economic transformation, affecting labor markets and commodity prices. 

Brookings Senior Fellow Santiago Levy pointed out structural challenges in emerging economies, particularly the lack of mid-sized firms capable of adopting technology, saying: “There are very few firms that can actually engage in technology adoption,” he said. 

Looking ahead, Al-Ibrahim stressed the importance of bold leadership and policy decisions to accelerate transformation. 

“We want to see more innovation-driven entrepreneurship activity commensurate with the level of activity at Vision 2030. It attracts innovators and creates high-value jobs in the long term,” he said. 

Global collaboration was another key theme of the discussion. Al-Ibrahim urged stakeholders to shift their approach, saying: “It needs to move away from trying to please everyone at the cost of offering a meaningful, serious solution to the problem.” 


Saudi Capital Markets Forum 2025 to drive growth and innovation in global finance

Saudi Capital Markets Forum 2025 to drive growth and innovation in global finance
Updated 17 February 2025
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Saudi Capital Markets Forum 2025 to drive growth and innovation in global finance

Saudi Capital Markets Forum 2025 to drive growth and innovation in global finance

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is set to host the fifth edition of the Capital Markets Forum from Feb. 18 to 20 in Riyadh, uniting leading financial experts in the capital and highlighting the Kingdom’s position as a key economic hub.

Organized by the Saudi Tadawul Group and held under the patronage of the Minister of Finance and Chairman of the Financial Sector Development Program Committee, Mohammed Al-Jadaan, the forum will convene top policymakers, business leaders, and industry experts to discuss key trends and developments shaping the nation’s capital markets.

With a strong focus on the evolving financial landscape, the event will be held under the theme “Powering Connections,” and is set to unlock new investment opportunities, foster strategic partnerships, and further position the Kingdom as a key player in the global capital markets ecosystem.

Saudi-based economist Talat Hafiz told Arab News that the forum “provides a vital platform for stakeholders to engage in meaningful discussions, explore emerging market opportunities, and shape the future of capital formation.”

He added: “Saudi Arabia’s capital market continues to demonstrate strong momentum, with increasing investor participation and a dynamic regulatory environment that supports the sustainable growth of the financial market.” 

Hafiz also underlined the increasing global interest in the Kingdom’s market: “Saudi Arabia’s capital market continues to attract global demand, driven by its market depth, regulatory advancements, and strong investor participation.”

Agenda for 2025 Forum

The 2025 forum will feature three days of discussions, presentations, and networking.

Day one will commence at the KAFD Conference Center with an official opening and welcome address, followed by sessions including “The Annual Economic Sprint: Navigating New Economic Frontiers,” where experts will analyze macroeconomic trends and growth trajectories.

Additional key discussions will include “The Capital Horizon: The Middle East as the New Capital Market Nexus” and “The Capital Crystal Ball: The Future Landscape of Capital Markets.”

The inaugural day will conclude with the 2024 Saudi Capital Market Awards presentation, recognizing the achievements and contributions of market participants across various categories.

The second and third days will occur at the Four Seasons Hotel, featuring sessions on capital management systems, market insights, and investment strategies. Industry leaders from DirectFN, Awqaf Investment, Nahdi Medical Co., and Sahm Capital will discuss how companies adapt to economic shifts.

Key projects such as Liqaa and Edaa Connect will be highlighted, providing attendees with insights into emerging financial technologies and data-driven investment approaches.

The final day will focus on data access, financial analytics, and transparency in capital markets, featuring presentations from Wamid and S&P Global.

Additional discussions will explore global economic outlooks, fintech advancements, and the increasing significance of environmental, social, and governance considerations in investment strategies.

The gathering will feature a distinguished lineup of speakers, including high-ranking government officials, top executives, and global financial leaders. Among them is Khalid Al-Faleh, minister of investment of Saudi Arabia, who will provide insights into the Kingdom’s economic strategies and monetary policies.

The event will also welcome Poppy Gustafsson, the UK minister of investment, and Sarah Al-Suhaimi, chairperson of Saudi Tadawul Group, alongside Khalid Al-Hussan, CEO of the group.

International financial leaders such as Bonnie Y Chan, CEO of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, and Nandini Sukumar, CEO of the World Federation of Exchanges, will contribute their expertise on global market integration and regulatory advancements.

Additionally, key figures from major financial institutions, including Roland Chai, president of European Market Services at Nasdaq, and Scott O’Malia, CEO of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, will share their perspectives on capital market trends and investment opportunities.

Highlights from the 2024 Forum

The Saudi Capital Markets Forum 2024 was one of the largest conferences in the sector globally, with 4,200 participants and 640 investors from 41 firms.

Themed “Powering Growth,” it emphasized Saudi Arabia’s role as a financial hub and provided a platform for major industry discussions and announcements.

The event facilitated 15,000 meeting requests between investors, issuers, and market participants, reinforcing its role as a premier networking and investment platform.

Several memorandums of understanding were signed, including collaborations to enhance environmental awareness, promote sustainability initiatives, and foster cultural development.

A significant announcement was made on the launch of a Social Responsibility Index in collaboration with the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development, further strengthening the Kingdom’s commitment to responsible investing.

Regulatory advancements were a key focus, with discussions addressing the potential introduction of a framework for follow-on share offerings, signaling progressive reforms in the nation’s financial ecosystem.

Additionally, Saudi Tadawul Group revealed the first-ever international edition of the forum, CONNECT Hong Kong, which took place on May 9, 2024. The event focused on strengthening ties between Saudi Arabia and Asian capital markets, fostering international collaboration, and advancing market connectivity.

Over the past three years, the event has generated over 25,000 meeting requests, attracted over 10,000 attendees, and drew more than 4,000 investors.