America’s AI controls risk stalling the Gulf’s billion-dollar vision

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America’s AI controls risk stalling the Gulf’s billion-dollar vision

America’s AI controls risk stalling the Gulf’s billion-dollar vision
US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan talks about AI during a news briefing on Jan. 13, 2025 in Washington. (AFP)
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The US government’s new controls on artificial intelligence chips arrive at a peculiar moment for the Gulf. The region has committed billions to becoming a global AI hub, yet Washington’s latest policy effectively tells it to wait its turn.

The framework announced this week relegates most of the world — including the Gulf states — to a secondary tier, permitted to purchase only 50,000 advanced AI chips annually. Meanwhile, 18 privileged nations, mostly close US allies, enjoy unlimited access.

This arbitrary ceiling comes just as the region’s universities, research centers, and sovereign wealth funds are making unprecedented investments in AI infrastructure.

The oversight appears particularly shortsighted given the Gulf’s strategic advantages. Saudi Arabia, for example, with vast land availability and energy costs at about $0.048 per kilowatt-hour — a fraction of Western rates — is perfectly positioned to become a global hub for AI data centers.

First-mover advantage in this critical 21st century infrastructure could prove more valuable than unrestricted chip access.

Consider the scale of investment. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have emerged as two of the world’s most ambitious investors in AI infrastructure. The UAE has built 235 megawatts of data center capacity, while Saudi Arabia has reached 123 megawatts. These are not speculative ventures — they represent serious, long-term commitments to becoming global AI hubs.

The quality of these investments is as significant as their scale. The recent partnership between Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and Google Cloud to create a new global AI hub demonstrates the sophistication and forward-looking nature of Gulf AI initiatives.

Similarly, Saudi Arabia’s collaboration with US-based Groq to build the world’s largest specialized AI data center shows a very clear preference for working with American technology leaders.

But perhaps the outgoing Biden administration has left the door ajar. These controls come with a 120-day implementation window — leaving plenty of time for the new administration to reassess its approach to America’s key Gulf allies.

Besides, recent developments in China offer a lesson in how technology restrictions can have unintended consequences. Despite facing the strictest US controls, Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has made remarkable progress. Its latest large language model approaches Western capabilities, all while using just a 10th of the computational resources, a feat accomplished through clever mathematics rather than raw processing power.

Saudi Arabia’s collaboration with US-based Groq to build the world’s largest specialized AI data center shows a very clear preference for working with American technology leaders.

Adrian Monck

This breakthrough should be on the radar of every country facing these new restrictions. DeepSeek’s achievement suggests that the path to AI leadership may not run through hardware dominance after all. Its team improved chip efficiency by 60 percent in six months when faced with hardware limitations. Innovation, it seems, is still possible under constraint.

The timing is particularly relevant for the Gulf. The region’s advantages are clear. It has emerging world-class universities — like Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah University of Science and Technology and the UAE’s Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence — significant capital resources, and growing pools of young, technical talent.

These may ultimately prove to be the long-term formula for AI success. If algorithmic innovation, rather than graphics processing unit brute force, will shape AI’s future, then investments in education and research will take on even greater importance.

DeepSeek developed its latest model for just $6 million — “a joke” according to OpenAI’s Andrej Karpathy — while Western tech giants spend hundreds of millions on similar projects. An efficiency-first approach aligns naturally with the region’s emphasis on sustainable technological development.

The US strategy seems predicated on an outdated notion of technological development — that controlling hardware access ensures controlling outcomes. Yet history suggests otherwise.

The Soviet space program achieved remarkable successes despite enormous technological restrictions, compensating through innovation. Ancient China’s attempts to restrict access to silk production technology met with failure.

Recent breakthroughs underline the stakes. OpenAI’s latest model scored 88 percent on complex reasoning tests, whereas previous systems managed just 5 percent, suggesting we are entering a critical phase in AI development. Its CEO Sam Altman believes artificial general intelligence — systems matching human capabilities — could emerge within four years.

This timeline makes the current administration’s attempt to create a hierarchical “AI world order” particularly short-sighted. Subordinating the region’s technological sovereignty to an arbitrary quota system, especially as it invests heavily in developing domestic AI capabilities, seems almost designed to alienate friends.

A more constructive approach would recognize that states like Saudi Arabia and the UAE are not just seeking to acquire AI capabilities — they’re building comprehensive AI ecosystems that could complement and strengthen US leadership in this critical technology. Their combination of capital, strategic vision, and commitment to working with Western partners makes them ideal partners in expanding the reach of responsible AI development.

The incoming Trump administration has an opportunity to recalibrate this policy. Rather than maintaining restrictions that complicate natural technological partnerships, a revised approach could focus on deepening collaboration with serious, well-resourced partners. The administration’s emphasis on deal-making and economic engagement suggests it would recognize the strategic value of such cooperation.

Adrian Monck is a senior adviser at the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence and authors the geopolitics newsletter, Seven Things.


 

Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not necessarily reflect Arab News' point of view

Syria demands Israel pullout from Golan: state media

Syria demands Israel pullout from Golan: state media
Updated 6 min 11 sec ago
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Syria demands Israel pullout from Golan: state media

Syria demands Israel pullout from Golan: state media
  • Syria is also ready to redeploy forces to the Golan in line with a 1974 agreement
  • Israel sent troops into the demilitarised buffer zone on December 8, the day Assad was toppled

DAMASCUS: Syria’s new authorities on Wednesday urged Israel’s withdrawal from Syrian territory it occupied in the Golan Heights after president Bashar Assad’s ousting, during talks with UN peacekeeping chief Jean-Pierre Lacroix, state media reported.
During Lacroix’s meeting with Syria’s foreign and defense ministers, “it was confirmed that Syria is ready to fully cooperate with the UN,” the SANA news agency said.
Syria is also ready to redeploy forces to the Golan in line with a 1974 agreement establishing a buffer zone “provided Israeli forces withdraw immediately,” SANA added.
Israel sent troops into the demilitarised buffer zone on December 8, the day Assad was toppled.
Israel seized most of the mountainous plateau from Syria during the 1967 Arab-Israeli war and annexed it in 1981. The UN-patrolled buffer zone was intended to keep Israeli and Syrian forces apart.
Forces loyal to Assad’s government had abandoned their positions in southern Syria before rebel groups even reached Damascus, leading Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to say there was a “vacuum on Israel’s border.”
The United Nations considers Israel’s takeover of the buffer zone a violation of the 1974 disengagement accord.
During his visit, Lacroix was to meet peacekeepers from the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF), which monitors compliance with the deal.
In December, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered the military to “prepare to remain” in the buffer zone throughout winter.
On Tuesday, he said troops would remain “at the top of Mount Hermon and in the security zone indefinitely to protect Golan communities, the north and all Israeli citizens.”
Mount Hermon straddles Syria and Lebanon, overlooking the Golan Heights.
“We will not allow hostile forces to establish themselves in the security zone in southern Syria,” he said.


UNRWA Lebanon says not impacted by US aid freeze or new Israeli law

UNRWA Lebanon says not impacted by US aid freeze or new Israeli law
Updated 16 min 56 sec ago
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UNRWA Lebanon says not impacted by US aid freeze or new Israeli law

UNRWA Lebanon says not impacted by US aid freeze or new Israeli law
  • Klaus said there was “no direct impact” on the agency’s Lebanon operations from a new Israeli law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip
  • “UNRWA will continue fully operating in Lebanon“

BEIRUT: The director of the United Nations agency for Palestinian refugees in Lebanon said on Wednesday that the agency had not been affected by US President Donald Trump’s halt to US foreign aid funding or by an Israeli ban on its operations.
“UNRWA currently is not receiving any US funding so there is no direct impact of the more recent decisions related to the UN system for UNRWA,” Dorothee Klaus told reporters at UNRWA’s field office in Lebanon.
US funding to UNRWA was suspended last year until March 2025 under a deal reached by US lawmakers and after Israel accused 12 of the agency’s 13,000 employees in Gaza of participating in the deadly Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attack that triggered the Gaza war.
The UN has said it had fired nine UNRWA staff who may have been involved and said it would investigate all accusations made.
Klaus said that UNRWA Lebanon had also placed four staff members on administrative leave as it investigated allegations they had breached the UN principle of neutrality.
One UNRWA teacher had already been suspended last year and a Hamas commander in Lebanon — killed in September in an Israeli strike — was found to have had an UNRWA job.
Klaus also said there was “no direct impact” on the agency’s Lebanon operations from a new Israeli law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip and that “UNRWA will continue fully operating in Lebanon.”
The law, adopted in October, bans UNRWA’s operation on Israeli land — including East Jerusalem, which Israel annexed in a move not recognized internationally — and contact with Israeli authorities from Jan. 30.
UNRWA provides aid, health and education services to millions in the Palestinian territories and neighboring Arab countries of Syria, Lebanon and Jordan.
Its commissioner general Philippe Lazzarini said on Tuesday that UNRWA has been the target of a “fierce disinformation campaign” to “portray the agency as a terrorist organization.”


Pakistan president signs controversial cybercrime bill into law

Pakistan president signs controversial cybercrime bill into law
Updated 9 min 47 sec ago
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Pakistan president signs controversial cybercrime bill into law

Pakistan president signs controversial cybercrime bill into law
  • Pakistani journalists, opposition leaders fear new law will be used to censor social media platforms
  • Government says law will protect journalists and won’t be used to suppress freedom of expression

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s President Asif Ali Zardari signed into law on Wednesday a controversial bill passed by both houses of parliament, state-run media reported, despite criticism from the country’s opposition and prominent journalists who say it curtails their right to freedom of expression. 
The development took place a day after Pakistan’s upper house of parliament followed the National Assembly by passing The Prevention of Electronic Crimes Amendment Bill, 2025, amid protests by opposition leaders and journalists who fear the new legislation will be used to censor social media platforms. After both houses passed the bill, it needed the president’s assent to become law. 
Pakistan adopted the much-criticized Pakistan Electronic Crimes Act (PECA) in 2016, granting sweeping powers to regulators to block private information they deemed illegal. The law provided for up to seven years in prison for “recruiting, funding and planning of terrorism” online. It also allowed “authorized officers” to require anyone to unlock any computer, mobile phone or other device during an investigation. The government said at the time restrictions under the new law were needed to ensure security against growing threats such as terrorism and to crack down on unauthorized access, electronic fraud and online harassment. 
The new amendment bill now proposes the establishment of the Social Media Protection and Regulatory Authority to perform a range of functions related to social media, including awareness, training, regulation, enlistment and blocking. SMPRA would be able to order the immediate blocking of unlawful content targeting judges, the armed forces, parliament or provincial assemblies or material which promotes and encourages terrorism and other forms of violence against the state or its institutions. The law also makes spreading disinformation a criminal offense punishable by three years in prison and a fine of two million rupees ($7,150).
“President Asif Ali Zardari has assented The Prevention of Electronic Crimes Amendment Bill, 2025, The Digital Nation Pakistan Bill, 2025 and The National Commission on the Status of Women (Amendment) Bill 2025,” state broadcaster Radio Pakistan reported. 


The main opposition party, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, called the law “draconian” on Tuesday, saying it would be used to suppress media freedom.
“We will challenge this and we will keep resisting till this black law is taken back,” the party said in a statement released to media. 
A copy of the bill seen by Arab News has set imprisonment of up to three years and a fine of Rs2 million or both for “whoever intentionally disseminates, publicly exhibits, or transmits any information through any information system, that he knows or has reason to believe to be false or fake and likely to cause or create a sense of fear, panic or disorder or unrest in general public or society.”
Information Minister Ataullah Tarar told reporters last week that the bill will protect journalists and not harm them. 
“This is the first time the government has defined what social media is,” Tarar said. “There is already a system in place for print and electronic media and complaints can be registered against them.”
He said “working journalists” should not feel threatened by the bill, which had to be passed because the Federal Investigation Agency, previously responsible for handling cybercrime, “does not have the capacity to handle child pornography or AI deep fake cases.”


Tarar said the government was also aiming to bring social media journalists, including those operating YouTube accounts, under the tax framework.
The operative part of the new bill outlines that the Social Media Protection and Regulatory Authority would have the power to issue directions to a social media platform for the removal or blocking of online content if it was against the ideology of Pakistan, incited the public to violate the law or take the law in own hands with a view to coerce, intimidate or terrorize the public, individuals, groups, communities, government officials and institutions, incited the public to cause damage to governmental or private property or coerced or intimidated the public and thereby prevented them from carrying on their lawful trade and disrupted civic life.
The authority will also crack down on anyone inciting hatred and contempt on a religious, sectarian or ethnic basis as well as against obscene or pornographic content and deep fakes. 
Rights activists say the new bill is part of a widespread digital crackdown that includes a ban on X since February last year, restrictions on VPN use and the implementation of a national firewall. 
The government says the measures are not aimed at censorship.


‘You are our front face in entire region,’ US businessman close to Trump tells Pakistan

‘You are our front face in entire region,’ US businessman close to Trump tells Pakistan
Updated 11 min 56 sec ago
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‘You are our front face in entire region,’ US businessman close to Trump tells Pakistan

‘You are our front face in entire region,’ US businessman close to Trump tells Pakistan
  • US business delegation led by Gentry Beach arrived in Pakistan for a two-day visit on Tuesday to explore business opportunities
  • Despite the challenging business climate, the United States is one of Pakistan’s largest sources of foreign direct investment

ISLAMABAD: US investor and Texas hedge fund manager Gentry Beach, believed to be close to American President Donald Trump, said on Wednesday he was eyeing investments in Pakistan’s real estate, mineral and energy sectors.
A US business delegation led by Beach arrived in Pakistan for a two-day visit on Tuesday to explore business opportunities, particularly in sectors like mining and minerals, renewable energy, infrastructure development and technology.
Cash-strapped Pakistan, desperate to escape a prolonged macroeconomic crisis, been seeking investments from regional and other foreign allies to shore up its $350 billion economy. 
“Real estate’s going to be our first place of investment, it’s going to be a significant real estate investment,” Beach told reporters in Islamabad when asked about key sectors he was interested in investing in. “We are going to launch in a few different areas some incredible projects.”
Part of the delegation’s real estate plans included building “super high-end luxury branded” villas.
“We have a number of brands that really want to come to Pakistan,” he said. “And so we are very excited to build the highest-end product that’s ever been built in Pakistan.”

A delegation of leading US Investors led by Gentry Beach meets Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in Islamabad on January 29, 2025. (Photo courtesy: PMO)


Beach said the delegation was also considering investments in Pakistani minerals, citing the country’s large reserves of gold, platinum and other precious metals. Pakistani officials estimate $6 trillion worth of natural deposits in the country.
“We have several locations and due diligence that we are working on right now,” Beach explained. “We’re bringing in the teams as we speak to evaluate those. I believe that we will have one of those [agreements on minerals] signed, agreed to and funding in the next two weeks.”
The American businessman acknowledged the problem of the US having outsourced its supply chain to China for rare earth elements. 
“And that’s over, okay. We don’t have many enemies in the world but China is a place that is becoming more difficult for us for sure,” Beach said.
“And I would tell you that we are taking this into our own hands and we are going to get out and get the critical minerals that America and American businesses need,” he added, saying Pakistan would be an important partner in this shift.

Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif speaks during a with a delegation of US Investors led by Gentry Beach in Islamabad on January 29, 2025. (Photo courtesy: PMO)

Beach said teams would be coming next month to evaluate Pakistan’s oil and gas sector, appreciating the country’s “incredible natural gas infrastructure already in place.”
“You have the infrastructure, you never go to a developing country where the infrastructure is already in place and you have to just supply the gas,” he said. “That is a huge opportunity.”
Beach said the US could bring in Western technology in drilling in Pakistan and “develop things very quickly.”
“We see ourselves as the first one through the door,” he said. “Then we are going to bring lots of Western companies through the door.”
Pakistan in 2023 nearly defaulted on the payment of foreign debts when the International Monetary Fund rescued it by agreeing to a $3 billion bailout to Pakistan. Last year, Islamabad secured a new $7 billion loan deal from the IMF. Since then, the country’s economy has started improving with weekly inflation coming down from 27 percent in 2023 to 1.8 percent earlier this month. 
Sharif has also vowed to reduce dependence on foreign loans in the coming years and seek more direct investment. 

A delegation of leading US Investors led by Gentry Beach meets Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in Islamabad on January 29, 2025. (Photo courtesy: PMO)

Pakistan’s business and investment landscape poses considerable challenges. Complex and inconsistent regulations, inadequate protection of intellectual property rights, and ever-changing taxation policies are some of the many business climate challenges cited by investors. Security concerns marked by internal and regional conflicts also undermine investor confidence in protection and profitability of their investments. The Pakistani government launched the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) in June 2023 to attract foreign investment from allies and other nations. Since its creation, the SIFC’s scope has expanded into a wide range of policy areas.
Despite the challenging investment climate, the United States is one of Pakistan’s largest sources of FDI. US companies have profitable operations across a range of sectors, notably franchise operations, fast-moving consumer goods, agribusiness, and financial services. Other sectors attracting US interest include ICT, renewable energy and health care services.


Bands Seera and Garwasha flourish in Saudi Arabia’s community-driven music scene

Bands Seera and Garwasha flourish in Saudi Arabia’s community-driven music scene
Updated 27 min 46 sec ago
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Bands Seera and Garwasha flourish in Saudi Arabia’s community-driven music scene

Bands Seera and Garwasha flourish in Saudi Arabia’s community-driven music scene

DHAHRAN: Two Saudi bands, Seera and Garwasha, are taking advantage of the flourishing underground music scene in the country by performing at local cultural hubs. 

While the big hitters such as the MDLBEAST-organized SOUNSTORM in Riyadh and Balad Beast in Jeddah draw the crowds — and international superstars — year on year, it is the beloved meeting spots in the country’s urban hubs that have become stages for rising Saudi talents. 

Seera performing at Khobar’s Bohemia Café & Records. (Supplied)

One of those spots is Khobar’s Bohemia Café & Records, where Seera and Garwasha played a packed out gig this past weekend. 

Long known as a cultural hub for music lovers, the meeting place played host to Seera, an all-women band formed in 2022 in Riyadh, who entertained the crowd with their unique sound. 

“A lot of people are intrigued; they want to know what we sound like. They’ve been so supportive, honestly, especially people in the music scene. We’ve had a lot of help from people around. And there’s the people who criticize, but that’s just noise we block out,” Seera’s Meesha told Arab News. Members of the band prefer to go by their first name. 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

A post shared by (@seera_music)

Merging Arabic melodies and rock, the band navigated complex musical landscapes, evoking a gothic energy that resonated with their listeners. 

Seera’s set featured standout tracks “Share3 Al Buhturi” and “Al Fanaa.” 

Bassist Meesha shared the beginning of Seera’s journey as a band, stating, "The singer is my sister, and we’ve always wanted to start a band together. I would post covers of myself on Instagram, and Haya, the guitarist, found me and said, ‘You! I want to start a band with you.’ We were all really excited; we wrote ten songs in one night." 

“And then our missing link was the drummer, whom we met at a French music night she organized. The rest is history,” she later told Arab News. 

Following Seera’s stirring performance, Garwasha took to the stage to showcase their new album, released in November 2024. (Supplied)

Following Seera’s stirring performance, Garwasha took to the stage to showcase their new album, released in November 2024. 

This instrumental Alternative Fusion band, also hailing from Riyadh, is known for blending smooth, synthesizer-laden jazz with a robust Arabic flavor. 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

A post shared by GARWASHA (@_garwasha_)

Guitarist Mazen Lawand, who studied at Berklee College of Music, sub-keyboard player Fawaz Waleed, sub-bass player Saud Alsheikh, and drummer Hassan Alkhedher delivered a thrilling performance with tracks like “Consolacao” and “Batt Habibi.”

 “I describe our music as a characterization of our experiences and influences,” Lawand explained.  

This sentiment was evident throughout their performance as they weaved together a tapestry of sounds that reflected their backgrounds and the rich culture of Saudi Arabia.

As the night continued, one thing became clear; support for local musicians is ever-growing.